Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Deportivo Cali vs Chico

Deportivo Cali vs Chico prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-03-10 23:20
Deportivo Cali
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
32%
Confidence
High
Score
1-0
Chico
Away

Prediction Summary

1
71%
X
22%
2
7%
Under 2.5
68%
BTTS No
77%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Deportivo Cali (Home)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate45%

Chico (Away)

Goals scored / match0.6
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Deportivo Cali
DLLLL
Chico
LLLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 45%
20% +1.5 15%
15% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
45% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is High.

Deportivo Cali averages 0.95 goals scored at home, while Chico averages 0.6 goals scored away.

Model Strength
77%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
71%
Draw
22%
Away Win
7%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS Yes
23%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Deportivo Cali(A) 0 - 0 Chico Draw
Mar 2025 Deportivo Cali 0 - 0 Chico Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Deportivo Cali won 0, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Deportivo Cali — unbeaten run (home)1
Deportivo Cali — scoring streak (home)1
Chico — winless run (away)1
Chico — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Deportivo Cali Win (1)71%
Draw (X)22%
Chico Win (2)7%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 45%
20% +1.5 15%
15% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 55%
80% -1.5 85%
85% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Deportivo Cali vs Chico — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Deportivo Cali — scored (home)0.95
Deportivo Cali — conceded (home)1.05
Chico — scored (away)0.6
Chico — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2

Both Teams To Score

Yes23%
No77%

Rate per Team

Deportivo Cali — BTTS matches (home)45%
Chico — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)40%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.572%
Under 6.528%
Over 7.559%
Under 7.541%
Over 8.544%
Under 8.556%
Over 9.536%
Under 9.564%
Over 10.518%
Under 10.582%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Deportivo Cali (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against3.6

Chico (away)

Corners for2.3
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Deportivo Cali
5 8 9 16 6
Chico
5 4 7 10 2

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Deportivo Cali (home)

For2.6

Chico (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Deportivo Cali — total shots (home)12.9
Chico — total shots (away)8.5

Shots on Target

Deportivo Cali — on target (home)3.7
Chico — on target (away)2.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Deportivo Cali

Inside the box6.69
Outside the box4.79

Chico

Inside the box4.88
Outside the box5.28

Player Shots Deportivo Cali

J. Martinez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target36%
E. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Estupinan
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Hurtado
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
J. Barrera
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Chico

Hassan Vergara
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
J. Molina
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target27%
E. Banguero
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Arango
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Bocanegra
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Deportivo Cali xG (home)1.11
Chico xG (away)1.02

Average Possession

51.1% Possession 47.6%

Team Comparison Deportivo Cali vs Chico

78% Pass accuracy 77.73%
351.97 Passes per match 328.68
0 Goals prevented 0
13.64 Fouls committed 11.03
2.56 Goalkeeper saves 3.05
1.97 Offsides 1.68
14.03 Tackles per match 10.13

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Deportivo Cali vs Chico prediction analysis

Review Deportivo Cali vs Chico with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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