Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima

Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-05-03 23:10
Deportivo Cali
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
37%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Deportes Tolima
Away

Prediction Summary

1
49%
X
28%
2
23%
Under 2.5
63%
BTTS No
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Deportivo Cali (Home)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate45%

Deportes Tolima (Away)

Goals scored / match1.26
Goals conceded / match1.04
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate44%

Team Form last 5 matches

Deportivo Cali
DLLLL
Deportes Tolima
LLWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 74%
20% +1.5 33%
15% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 0%
45% BTTS 44%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

Deportivo Cali averages 0.95 goals scored at home, while Deportes Tolima averages 1.26 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
49%
Draw
28%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS Yes
42%

Head-to-Head last 2

Oct 2025 Deportivo Cali(A) 1 - 2 Deportes Tolima Away
May 2025 Deportivo Cali 1 - 1 Deportes Tolima Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Deportivo Cali won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Deportivo Cali — unbeaten run (home)1
Deportivo Cali — scoring streak (home)1
Deportes Tolima — winless run (away)2
Deportes Tolima — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Deportivo Cali Win (1)49%
Draw (X)28%
Deportes Tolima Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 74%
20% +1.5 33%
15% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 26%
80% -1.5 67%
85% -2.5 85%
100% -3.5 96%
100% -4.5 100%

Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Deportivo Cali — scored (home)0.95
Deportivo Cali — conceded (home)1.05
Deportes Tolima — scored (away)1.26
Deportes Tolima — conceded (away)1.04
Model expected combined goals2.18

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%
No58%

Rate per Team

Deportivo Cali — BTTS matches (home)45%
Deportes Tolima — BTTS matches (away)44%
Combined (simple average)44.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.524%
Under 10.576%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Deportivo Cali (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against3.6

Deportes Tolima (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Deportivo Cali
5 8 9 16 6
Deportes Tolima
8 8 8 9 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Deportivo Cali (home)

For2.6

Deportes Tolima (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Deportivo Cali — total shots (home)12.9
Deportes Tolima — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

Deportivo Cali — on target (home)3.7
Deportes Tolima — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Deportivo Cali

Inside the box6.69
Outside the box4.79

Deportes Tolima

Inside the box7.02
Outside the box5.72

Player Shots Deportivo Cali

J. Martinez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target36%
E. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Estupinan
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Hurtado
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
J. Barrera
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Deportes Tolima

G. Lencina
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target29%
G. Ramírez
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target20%
M. Gonzalez
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target12%
J. P. Torres Patino
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Parra
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Deportivo Cali xG (home)1.11
Deportes Tolima xG (away)1.26

Average Possession

51.1% Possession 53.69%

Team Comparison Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima

78% Pass accuracy 81.54%
351.97 Passes per match 409.22
0 Goals prevented 0
13.64 Fouls committed 10.46
2.56 Goalkeeper saves 2.5
1.97 Offsides 1.42
14.03 Tackles per match 11.89

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima prediction analysis

Review Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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