Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Deportivo Cali vs Envigado

Deportivo Cali vs Envigado prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-02-02 21:10
Deportivo Cali
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
34%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Envigado
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
30%
2
34%
Under 2.5
66%
BTTS No
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Deportivo Cali (Home)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate45%

Envigado (Away)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.15
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Deportivo Cali
DLLLL
Envigado
WDLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 45%
20% +1.5 30%
15% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
45% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 34%. Model confidence is Medium.

Deportivo Cali averages 0.95 goals scored at home, while Envigado averages 0.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength
66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
30%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS Yes
41%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jul 2025 Deportivo Cali(A) 0 - 0 Envigado Draw
Feb 2025 Deportivo Cali 1 - 0 Envigado Home

In the last 2 meetings, Deportivo Cali won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Deportivo Cali — unbeaten run (home)1
Deportivo Cali — scoring streak (home)1
Envigado — winless run (away)0
Envigado — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Deportivo Cali Win (1)36%
Draw (X)30%
Envigado Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 45%
20% +1.5 30%
15% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 55%
80% -1.5 70%
85% -2.5 85%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Deportivo Cali vs Envigado — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Deportivo Cali — scored (home)0.95
Deportivo Cali — conceded (home)1.05
Envigado — scored (away)0.95
Envigado — conceded (away)1.15
Model expected combined goals2.05

Both Teams To Score

Yes41%
No59%

Rate per Team

Deportivo Cali — BTTS matches (home)45%
Envigado — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)40%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.567%
Under 7.533%
Over 8.549%
Under 8.551%
Over 9.539%
Under 9.561%
Over 10.531%
Under 10.569%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Deportivo Cali (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against3.6

Envigado (away)

Corners for2.8
Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Deportivo Cali
5 8 9 16 6
Envigado
3 4 12 6 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.598%
Under 2.52%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Deportivo Cali (home)

For2.6

Envigado (away)

For4.2

Shots per Game

Deportivo Cali — total shots (home)12.9
Envigado — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Deportivo Cali — on target (home)3.7
Envigado — on target (away)2.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Deportivo Cali

Inside the box6.69
Outside the box4.79

Envigado

Inside the box5.23
Outside the box5.13

Player Shots Deportivo Cali

J. Martinez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target36%
E. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Estupinan
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Hurtado
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
J. Barrera
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Envigado

D. Pabón
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target50%
D. Arcila
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target19%
E. López
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target8%
B. Garcés
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target8%
W. Hurtado
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Deportivo Cali xG (home)1.11
Envigado xG (away)1.15

Average Possession

51.1% Possession 43.18%

Team Comparison Deportivo Cali vs Envigado

78% Pass accuracy 74.7%
351.97 Passes per match 285.13
0 Goals prevented 0
13.64 Fouls committed 14.18
2.56 Goalkeeper saves 2.9
1.97 Offsides 1.74
14.03 Tackles per match 11.08

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Deportivo Cali vs Envigado prediction analysis

Review Deportivo Cali vs Envigado with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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