Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Deportivo Cali vs Santa Fe

Deportivo Cali vs Santa Fe prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-05-17 23:00
Deportivo Cali
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
30%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
Santa Fe
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
32%
2
32%
Under 2.5
70%
BTTS No
62%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Deportivo Cali (Home)

Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate45%

Santa Fe (Away)

Goals scored / match1.22
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate52%

Team Form last 5 matches

Deportivo Cali
DLLLL
Santa Fe
DWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 70%
20% +1.5 33%
15% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 4%
45% BTTS 52%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 30%. Model confidence is High.

Deportivo Cali averages 0.95 goals scored at home, while Santa Fe averages 1.22 goals scored away.

Model Strength
70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
32%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Yes
38%

Head-to-Head last 2

Nov 2025 Deportivo Cali(A) 0 - 1 Santa Fe Away
May 2025 Deportivo Cali 0 - 2 Santa Fe Away

In the last 2 meetings, Deportivo Cali won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Deportivo Cali — unbeaten run (home)1
Deportivo Cali — scoring streak (home)1
Santa Fe — winless run (away)0
Santa Fe — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Deportivo Cali Win (1)36%
Draw (X)32%
Santa Fe Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 70%
20% +1.5 33%
15% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 4%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 30%
80% -1.5 67%
85% -2.5 96%
100% -3.5 96%
100% -4.5 96%

Deportivo Cali vs Santa Fe — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Deportivo Cali — scored (home)0.95
Deportivo Cali — conceded (home)1.05
Santa Fe — scored (away)1.22
Santa Fe — conceded (away)1.11
Model expected combined goals1.9

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%
No62%

Rate per Team

Deportivo Cali — BTTS matches (home)45%
Santa Fe — BTTS matches (away)52%
Combined (simple average)48.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.552%
Under 8.548%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Deportivo Cali (home)

Corners for5.1
Corners against3.6

Santa Fe (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Deportivo Cali
5 8 9 16 6
Santa Fe
6 8 8 12 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.596%
Under 2.54%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Deportivo Cali (home)

For2.6

Santa Fe (away)

For3.4

Shots per Game

Deportivo Cali — total shots (home)12.9
Santa Fe — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Deportivo Cali — on target (home)3.7
Santa Fe — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Deportivo Cali

Inside the box6.69
Outside the box4.79

Santa Fe

Inside the box7.04
Outside the box5.44

Player Shots Deportivo Cali

J. Martinez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target36%
E. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Estupinan
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Hurtado
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
J. Barrera
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots Santa Fe

H. Rodallega
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target81%
+1.5 On Target37%
H. Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target22%
A. Zapata
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target11%
Y. Perlaza
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
O. Fernández
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Deportivo Cali xG (home)1.11
Santa Fe xG (away)1.08

Average Possession

51.1% Possession 48.19%

Team Comparison Deportivo Cali vs Santa Fe

78% Pass accuracy 77.09%
351.97 Passes per match 334.04
0 Goals prevented 0
13.64 Fouls committed 11.52
2.56 Goalkeeper saves 3.46
1.97 Offsides 1.38
14.03 Tackles per match 10.54

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Deportivo Cali vs Santa Fe prediction analysis

Review Deportivo Cali vs Santa Fe with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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