Prediction Analysis: Deportivo Cali vs Union Magdalena
Deportivo Cali vs Union Magdalena prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera A
2025-08-14
00:30
Deportivo Cali
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
34%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Union Magdalena
Away
Prediction Summary
1
45%
X
30%
2
25%
Under 2.5
66%
BTTS No
60%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Deportivo Cali (Home)
Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate45%
Union Magdalena (Away)
Goals scored / match0.7
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%
Team Form last 5 matches
Deportivo Cali
DLLLL
Union Magdalena
WLLLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
60%
+0.5
60%
20%
+1.5
10%
15%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
45%
BTTS
50%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 34%. Model confidence is Medium.
Deportivo Cali averages 0.95 goals scored at home, while Union Magdalena averages 0.7 goals scored away.
Model Strength
66%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
45%
Draw
30%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS Yes
40%
Head-to-Head last 2
Aug 2025
Deportivo Cali
3 - 1
Union Magdalena
Home
Mar 2025
Deportivo Cali(A)
2 - 2
Union Magdalena
Draw
In the last 2 meetings, Deportivo Cali won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Deportivo Cali — unbeaten run (home)1
Deportivo Cali — scoring streak (home)1
Union Magdalena — winless run (away)6
Union Magdalena — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Deportivo Cali Win (1)45%
Draw (X)30%
Union Magdalena Win (2)25%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
60%
+0.5
60%
20%
+1.5
10%
15%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
40%
-0.5
40%
80%
-1.5
90%
85%
-2.5
100%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Deportivo Cali vs Union Magdalena — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Deportivo Cali — scored (home)0.95
Deportivo Cali — conceded (home)1.05
Union Magdalena — scored (away)0.7
Union Magdalena — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.05
Both Teams To Score
Yes40%
No60%
Rate per Team
Deportivo Cali — BTTS matches (home)45%
Union Magdalena — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)47.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.567%
Under 7.533%
Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30
Per-Team Corners own matches
Deportivo Cali (home)
Corners for5.1
Corners against3.6
Union Magdalena (away)
Corners for2.9
Corners against6.9
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Deportivo Cali
5
8
9
16
6
Union Magdalena
3
14
12
11
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.6
Yellow Cards per Team
Deportivo Cali (home)
For2.6
Union Magdalena (away)
For2.6
Shots per Game
Deportivo Cali — total shots (home)12.9
Union Magdalena — total shots (away)9.0
Shots on Target
Deportivo Cali — on target (home)3.7
Union Magdalena — on target (away)3.6
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Deportivo Cali
Inside the box6.69
Outside the box4.79
Union Magdalena
Inside the box5.77
Outside the box5.72
Player Shots Deportivo Cali
J. Martinez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target36%
E. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Estupinan
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Hurtado
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
J. Barrera
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target12%
Player Shots Union Magdalena
R. Márquez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Sarmiento
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target8%
R. Blanco
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
C. Iguaran
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
O. Aragon
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Cali xG (home)1.11
Union Magdalena xG (away)1.16
Average Possession
51.1%
Possession
45.9%
Team Comparison Deportivo Cali vs Union Magdalena
78%
Pass accuracy
75.59%
351.97
Passes per match
333
0
Goals prevented
0
13.64
Fouls committed
13.13
2.56
Goalkeeper saves
3.18
1.97
Offsides
1.74
14.03
Tackles per match
13.23
League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Deportivo Cali vs Union Magdalena prediction analysis
Review Deportivo Cali vs Union Magdalena with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights