Prediction Analysis: Deportivo Pasto vs Águilas Doradas
Deportivo Pasto vs Águilas Doradas prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera A
2025-04-22
01:10
Deportivo Pasto
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
37%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Águilas Doradas
Away
Prediction Summary
1
49%
X
28%
2
23%
Under 2.5
63%
BTTS No
58%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Deportivo Pasto (Home)
Goals scored / match1.75
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate30%
BTTS rate50%
Águilas Doradas (Away)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.1
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate50%
Team Form last 5 matches
Deportivo Pasto
WLWLD
Águilas Doradas
LLWWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
85%
+0.5
60%
55%
+1.5
25%
30%
+2.5
5%
5%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
5%
50%
BTTS
50%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.
Deportivo Pasto averages 1.75 goals scored at home, while Águilas Doradas averages 1 goals scored away.
Model Strength
63%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
49%
Draw
28%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
Head-to-Head last 2
Oct 2025
Deportivo Pasto(A)
2 - 2
Águilas Doradas
Draw
Apr 2025
Deportivo Pasto
1 - 0
Águilas Doradas
Home
In the last 2 meetings, Deportivo Pasto won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Deportivo Pasto — unbeaten run (home)4
Deportivo Pasto — scoring streak (home)4
Águilas Doradas — winless run (away)1
Águilas Doradas — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Deportivo Pasto Win (1)49%
Draw (X)28%
Águilas Doradas Win (2)23%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
85%
+0.5
60%
55%
+1.5
25%
30%
+2.5
5%
5%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
5%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
15%
-0.5
40%
45%
-1.5
75%
70%
-2.5
95%
95%
-3.5
95%
100%
-4.5
95%
Deportivo Pasto vs Águilas Doradas — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Deportivo Pasto — scored (home)1.75
Deportivo Pasto — conceded (home)1.05
Águilas Doradas — scored (away)1
Águilas Doradas — conceded (away)1.1
Model expected combined goals2.19
Both Teams To Score
Yes42%
No58%
Rate per Team
Deportivo Pasto — BTTS matches (home)50%
Águilas Doradas — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.565%
Under 7.535%
Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.00
Per-Team Corners own matches
Deportivo Pasto (home)
Corners for4.3
Corners against3.7
Águilas Doradas (away)
Corners for4.7
Corners against5.2
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Deportivo Pasto
7
16
11
5
4
Águilas Doradas
16
7
12
9
8
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.593%
Under 2.57%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.2
Yellow Cards per Team
Deportivo Pasto (home)
For3.8
Águilas Doradas (away)
For3.0
Shots per Game
Deportivo Pasto — total shots (home)12.7
Águilas Doradas — total shots (away)11.3
Shots on Target
Deportivo Pasto — on target (home)4.0
Águilas Doradas — on target (away)3.6
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Deportivo Pasto
Inside the box5.88
Outside the box5.6
Águilas Doradas
Inside the box6.5
Outside the box5.55
Player Shots Deportivo Pasto
Y. Valois
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target56%
F. Boné
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%
G. Torres
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target11%
D. Camacho
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Rivas
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Águilas Doradas
Y. González
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target22%
F. Salazar
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Rivaldo
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Lemos
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
W. Morelo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target6%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Pasto xG (home)0.98
Águilas Doradas xG (away)1.19
Average Possession
43.55%
Possession
47.55%
Team Comparison Deportivo Pasto vs Águilas Doradas
78.88%
Pass accuracy
77.18%
317.15
Passes per match
329.4
0
Goals prevented
0
13.58
Fouls committed
11.88
2.55
Goalkeeper saves
2.8
1.58
Offsides
1.56
12.18
Tackles per match
12.18
League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Deportivo Pasto vs Águilas Doradas prediction analysis
Review Deportivo Pasto vs Águilas Doradas with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights