Prediction Analysis: Deportivo Pasto vs America de Cali
Deportivo Pasto vs America de Cali prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera A
2025-09-25
01:00
Deportivo Pasto
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
34%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
America de Cali
Away
Prediction Summary
1
44%
X
30%
2
26%
Under 2.5
66%
BTTS No
60%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Deportivo Pasto (Home)
Goals scored / match1.75
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate30%
BTTS rate50%
America de Cali (Away)
Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match0.96
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate35%
Team Form last 5 matches
Deportivo Pasto
WLWLD
America de Cali
WLDWD
Goals Comparison rate per team
85%
+0.5
62%
55%
+1.5
19%
30%
+2.5
4%
5%
+3.5
4%
0%
+4.5
0%
50%
BTTS
35%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 34%. Model confidence is Medium.
Deportivo Pasto averages 1.75 goals scored at home, while America de Cali averages 0.88 goals scored away.
Model Strength
66%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
44%
Draw
30%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS Yes
40%
Head-to-Head last 2
Sep 2025
Deportivo Pasto
0 - 2
America de Cali
Away
Feb 2025
Deportivo Pasto(A)
1 - 1
America de Cali
Draw
In the last 2 meetings, Deportivo Pasto won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Deportivo Pasto — unbeaten run (home)4
Deportivo Pasto — scoring streak (home)4
America de Cali — winless run (away)4
America de Cali — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Deportivo Pasto Win (1)44%
Draw (X)30%
America de Cali Win (2)26%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
85%
+0.5
62%
55%
+1.5
19%
30%
+2.5
4%
5%
+3.5
4%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
15%
-0.5
38%
45%
-1.5
81%
70%
-2.5
96%
95%
-3.5
96%
100%
-4.5
100%
Deportivo Pasto vs America de Cali — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Deportivo Pasto — scored (home)1.75
Deportivo Pasto — conceded (home)1.05
America de Cali — scored (away)0.88
America de Cali — conceded (away)0.96
Model expected combined goals2.07
Both Teams To Score
Yes40%
No60%
Rate per Team
Deportivo Pasto — BTTS matches (home)50%
America de Cali — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)42.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.588%
Under 4.512%
Over 5.584%
Under 5.516%
Over 6.578%
Under 6.522%
Over 7.562%
Under 7.538%
Over 8.548%
Under 8.552%
Over 9.533%
Under 9.567%
Over 10.523%
Under 10.577%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.40
Per-Team Corners own matches
Deportivo Pasto (home)
Corners for4.3
Corners against3.7
America de Cali (away)
Corners for4.0
Corners against4.7
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Deportivo Pasto
7
16
11
5
4
America de Cali
7
7
4
6
9
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.596%
Under 1.54%
Over 2.589%
Under 2.511%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.8
Yellow Cards per Team
Deportivo Pasto (home)
For3.8
America de Cali (away)
For2.7
Shots per Game
Deportivo Pasto — total shots (home)12.7
America de Cali — total shots (away)11.3
Shots on Target
Deportivo Pasto — on target (home)4.0
America de Cali — on target (away)3.3
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Deportivo Pasto
Inside the box5.88
Outside the box5.6
America de Cali
Inside the box7.31
Outside the box6.38
Player Shots Deportivo Pasto
Y. Valois
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target56%
F. Boné
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%
G. Torres
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target11%
D. Camacho
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Rivas
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots America de Cali
D. Vergara
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
J. Quintero
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
Luis Ramos
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target26%
Pipe Gómez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target17%
T. Palacios
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Pasto xG (home)0.98
America de Cali xG (away)0.87
Average Possession
43.55%
Possession
52.4%
Team Comparison Deportivo Pasto vs America de Cali
78.88%
Pass accuracy
81.27%
317.15
Passes per match
393.67
0
Goals prevented
0
13.58
Fouls committed
12.02
2.55
Goalkeeper saves
3
1.58
Offsides
1.86
12.18
Tackles per match
12.15
League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Deportivo Pasto vs America de Cali prediction analysis
Review Deportivo Pasto vs America de Cali with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights