Prediction Analysis: Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera A
2025-10-28
00:45
Deportivo Pasto
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-0
Deportivo Pereira
Away
Prediction Summary
1
52%
X
25%
2
23%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Deportivo Pasto (Home)
Goals scored / match1.75
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate30%
BTTS rate50%
Deportivo Pereira (Away)
Goals scored / match0.65
Goals conceded / match1.8
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate40%
Team Form last 5 matches
Deportivo Pasto
WLWLD
Deportivo Pereira
LLLLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
85%
+0.5
45%
55%
+1.5
15%
30%
+2.5
5%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
50%
BTTS
40%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.
Deportivo Pasto averages 1.75 goals scored at home, while Deportivo Pereira averages 0.65 goals scored away.
Model Strength
54%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
52%
Draw
25%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
48%
Head-to-Head last 2
Oct 2025
Deportivo Pasto
4 - 0
Deportivo Pereira
Home
May 2025
Deportivo Pasto(A)
0 - 1
Deportivo Pereira
Away
In the last 2 meetings, Deportivo Pasto won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Deportivo Pasto — unbeaten run (home)4
Deportivo Pasto — scoring streak (home)4
Deportivo Pereira — winless run (away)15
Deportivo Pereira — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Deportivo Pasto Win (1)52%
Draw (X)25%
Deportivo Pereira Win (2)23%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
85%
+0.5
45%
55%
+1.5
15%
30%
+2.5
5%
5%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
15%
-0.5
55%
45%
-1.5
85%
70%
-2.5
95%
95%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Deportivo Pasto — scored (home)1.75
Deportivo Pasto — conceded (home)1.05
Deportivo Pereira — scored (away)0.65
Deportivo Pereira — conceded (away)1.8
Model expected combined goals2.5
Both Teams To Score
Yes48%
No52%
Rate per Team
Deportivo Pasto — BTTS matches (home)50%
Deportivo Pereira — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)45%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.588%
Under 4.512%
Over 5.583%
Under 5.517%
Over 6.578%
Under 6.522%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80
Per-Team Corners own matches
Deportivo Pasto (home)
Corners for4.3
Corners against3.7
Deportivo Pereira (away)
Corners for4.7
Corners against4.8
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Deportivo Pasto
7
16
11
5
4
Deportivo Pereira
10
7
11
8
4
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.1
Yellow Cards per Team
Deportivo Pasto (home)
For3.8
Deportivo Pereira (away)
For3.6
Shots per Game
Deportivo Pasto — total shots (home)12.7
Deportivo Pereira — total shots (away)10.4
Shots on Target
Deportivo Pasto — on target (home)4.0
Deportivo Pereira — on target (away)3.0
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Deportivo Pasto
Inside the box5.88
Outside the box5.6
Deportivo Pereira
Inside the box6.05
Outside the box5.35
Player Shots Deportivo Pasto
Y. Valois
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target56%
F. Boné
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%
G. Torres
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target11%
D. Camacho
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%
J. Rivas
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Deportivo Pereira
D. Quintero
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
J. Quiñones
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target15%
S. Merheg
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Estacio
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
G. Torres
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target17%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Pasto xG (home)0.98
Deportivo Pereira xG (away)1.06
Average Possession
43.55%
Possession
45.4%
Team Comparison Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira
78.88%
Pass accuracy
75.78%
317.15
Passes per match
315.05
0
Goals prevented
0
13.58
Fouls committed
13.2
2.55
Goalkeeper saves
3.45
1.58
Offsides
2.03
12.18
Tackles per match
11.3
League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira prediction analysis
Review Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights