Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali

Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-08-14 23:00
Deportivo Pereira
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
27%
Confidence
High
Score
1-0
America de Cali
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
32%
2
22%
Under 2.5
73%
BTTS No
67%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Deportivo Pereira (Home)

Goals scored / match1.4
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate50%

America de Cali (Away)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match0.96
Over 2.5 rate4%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Deportivo Pereira
LLLLL
America de Cali
WLDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

80% +0.5 62%
50% +1.5 19%
10% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 27%. Model confidence is High.

Deportivo Pereira averages 1.4 goals scored at home, while America de Cali averages 0.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength
73%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
32%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
27%
BTTS Yes
33%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Deportivo Pereira 2 - 1 America de Cali Home
Mar 2025 Deportivo Pereira(A) 0 - 2 America de Cali Away

In the last 2 meetings, Deportivo Pereira won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Deportivo Pereira — unbeaten run (home)0
Deportivo Pereira — scoring streak (home)4
America de Cali — winless run (away)4
America de Cali — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Deportivo Pereira Win (1)47%
Draw (X)32%
America de Cali Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

80% +0.5 62%
50% +1.5 19%
10% +2.5 4%
0% +3.5 4%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

20% -0.5 38%
50% -1.5 81%
90% -2.5 96%
100% -3.5 96%
100% -4.5 100%

Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Deportivo Pereira — scored (home)1.4
Deportivo Pereira — conceded (home)1.05
America de Cali — scored (away)0.88
America de Cali — conceded (away)0.96
Model expected combined goals1.8

Both Teams To Score

Yes33%
No67%

Rate per Team

Deportivo Pereira — BTTS matches (home)50%
America de Cali — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)42.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.567%
Under 7.533%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.536%
Under 9.564%
Over 10.523%
Under 10.577%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Deportivo Pereira (home)

Corners for4.7
Corners against4.2

America de Cali (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Deportivo Pereira
10 7 11 8 4
America de Cali
7 7 4 6 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.596%
Under 1.54%
Over 2.594%
Under 2.56%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6

Yellow Cards per Team

Deportivo Pereira (home)

For3.4

America de Cali (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Deportivo Pereira — total shots (home)12.4
America de Cali — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

Deportivo Pereira — on target (home)4.2
America de Cali — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Deportivo Pereira

Inside the box6.05
Outside the box5.35

America de Cali

Inside the box7.31
Outside the box6.38

Player Shots Deportivo Pereira

D. Quintero
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
J. Quiñones
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target15%
S. Merheg
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Estacio
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
G. Torres
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots America de Cali

D. Vergara
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
J. Quintero
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
Luis Ramos
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target26%
Pipe Gómez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target17%
T. Palacios
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Deportivo Pereira xG (home)1.06
America de Cali xG (away)0.87

Average Possession

45.4% Possession 52.4%

Team Comparison Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali

75.78% Pass accuracy 81.27%
315.05 Passes per match 393.67
0 Goals prevented 0
13.2 Fouls committed 12.02
3.45 Goalkeeper saves 3
2.03 Offsides 1.86
11.3 Tackles per match 12.15

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali prediction analysis

Review Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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