Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Deportivo Pereira vs Llaneros

Deportivo Pereira vs Llaneros prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-09-14 23:20
Deportivo Pereira
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
39%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Llaneros
Away

Prediction Summary

1
54%
X
27%
2
20%
Under 2.5
61%
BTTS No
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Deportivo Pereira (Home)

Goals scored / match1.4
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate50%

Llaneros (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.6
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate45%

Team Form last 5 matches

Deportivo Pereira
LLLLL
Llaneros
LLLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

80% +0.5 55%
50% +1.5 30%
10% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
50% BTTS 45%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

Deportivo Pereira averages 1.4 goals scored at home, while Llaneros averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
54%
Draw
27%
Away Win
20%
Over 2.5
39%
BTTS Yes
41%

Head-to-Head last 3

Jul 2026 Deportivo Pereira(A) 0 - 1 Llaneros Away
Sep 2025 Deportivo Pereira 0 - 0 Llaneros Draw
Apr 2025 Deportivo Pereira(A) 1 - 2 Llaneros Away

In the last 3 meetings, Deportivo Pereira won 0, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Deportivo Pereira — unbeaten run (home)0
Deportivo Pereira — scoring streak (home)4
Llaneros — winless run (away)2
Llaneros — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Deportivo Pereira Win (1)54%
Draw (X)27%
Llaneros Win (2)20%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

80% +0.5 55%
50% +1.5 30%
10% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

20% -0.5 45%
50% -1.5 70%
90% -2.5 85%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Deportivo Pereira vs Llaneros — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Deportivo Pereira — scored (home)1.4
Deportivo Pereira — conceded (home)1.05
Llaneros — scored (away)1
Llaneros — conceded (away)1.6
Model expected combined goals2.23

Both Teams To Score

Yes41%
No59%

Rate per Team

Deportivo Pereira — BTTS matches (home)50%
Llaneros — BTTS matches (away)45%
Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Deportivo Pereira (home)

Corners for4.7
Corners against4.2

Llaneros (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against6.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Deportivo Pereira
10 7 11 8 4
Llaneros
7 17 9 9 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.595%
Under 2.55%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Deportivo Pereira (home)

For3.4

Llaneros (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Deportivo Pereira — total shots (home)12.4
Llaneros — total shots (away)8.6

Shots on Target

Deportivo Pereira — on target (home)4.2
Llaneros — on target (away)2.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Deportivo Pereira

Inside the box6.05
Outside the box5.35

Llaneros

Inside the box5.25
Outside the box4.38

Player Shots Deportivo Pereira

D. Quintero
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
J. Quiñones
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target15%
S. Merheg
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Estacio
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
G. Torres
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Llaneros

Harold Reina
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
C. Sierra
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target7%
J. Mayorga
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Rangel
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target6%
C. Cortés
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Deportivo Pereira xG (home)1.06
Llaneros xG (away)0.98

Average Possession

45.4% Possession 47.63%

Team Comparison Deportivo Pereira vs Llaneros

75.78% Pass accuracy 79.2%
315.05 Passes per match 352.3
0 Goals prevented 0
13.2 Fouls committed 9.95
3.45 Goalkeeper saves 2.88
2.03 Offsides 1.37
11.3 Tackles per match 11.05

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Deportivo Pereira vs Llaneros prediction analysis

Review Deportivo Pereira vs Llaneros with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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