Prediction Analysis: Deportivo Pereira vs Union Magdalena
Deportivo Pereira vs Union Magdalena prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera A
2025-09-27
19:00
Deportivo Pereira
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
35%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Union Magdalena
Away
Prediction Summary
1
58%
X
27%
2
16%
Under 2.5
65%
BTTS No
64%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Deportivo Pereira (Home)
Goals scored / match1.4
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate50%
Union Magdalena (Away)
Goals scored / match0.7
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%
Team Form last 5 matches
Deportivo Pereira
LLLLL
Union Magdalena
WLLLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
80%
+0.5
60%
50%
+1.5
10%
10%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
50%
BTTS
50%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 35%. Model confidence is Medium.
Deportivo Pereira averages 1.4 goals scored at home, while Union Magdalena averages 0.7 goals scored away.
Model Strength
65%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
58%
Draw
27%
Away Win
16%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Yes
36%
Head-to-Head last 2
Sep 2025
Deportivo Pereira
2 - 2
Union Magdalena
Draw
Apr 2025
Deportivo Pereira(A)
2 - 2
Union Magdalena
Draw
In the last 2 meetings, Deportivo Pereira won 0, drew 2 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Deportivo Pereira — unbeaten run (home)0
Deportivo Pereira — scoring streak (home)4
Union Magdalena — winless run (away)6
Union Magdalena — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Deportivo Pereira Win (1)58%
Draw (X)27%
Union Magdalena Win (2)16%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
80%
+0.5
60%
50%
+1.5
10%
10%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
20%
-0.5
40%
50%
-1.5
90%
90%
-2.5
100%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Deportivo Pereira vs Union Magdalena — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Deportivo Pereira — scored (home)1.4
Deportivo Pereira — conceded (home)1.05
Union Magdalena — scored (away)0.7
Union Magdalena — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.09
Both Teams To Score
Yes36%
No64%
Rate per Team
Deportivo Pereira — BTTS matches (home)50%
Union Magdalena — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.563%
Under 7.537%
Over 8.555%
Under 8.545%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40
Per-Team Corners own matches
Deportivo Pereira (home)
Corners for4.7
Corners against4.2
Union Magdalena (away)
Corners for2.9
Corners against6.9
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Deportivo Pereira
10
7
11
8
4
Union Magdalena
3
14
12
11
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5
Yellow Cards per Team
Deportivo Pereira (home)
For3.4
Union Magdalena (away)
For2.6
Shots per Game
Deportivo Pereira — total shots (home)12.4
Union Magdalena — total shots (away)9.0
Shots on Target
Deportivo Pereira — on target (home)4.2
Union Magdalena — on target (away)3.6
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Deportivo Pereira
Inside the box6.05
Outside the box5.35
Union Magdalena
Inside the box5.77
Outside the box5.72
Player Shots Deportivo Pereira
D. Quintero
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target16%
J. Quiñones
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target15%
S. Merheg
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Estacio
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
G. Torres
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target17%
Player Shots Union Magdalena
R. Márquez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Sarmiento
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target8%
R. Blanco
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
C. Iguaran
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
O. Aragon
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Pereira xG (home)1.06
Union Magdalena xG (away)1.16
Average Possession
45.4%
Possession
45.9%
Team Comparison Deportivo Pereira vs Union Magdalena
75.78%
Pass accuracy
75.59%
315.05
Passes per match
333
0
Goals prevented
0
13.2
Fouls committed
13.13
3.45
Goalkeeper saves
3.18
2.03
Offsides
1.74
11.3
Tackles per match
13.23
League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Deportivo Pereira vs Union Magdalena prediction analysis
Review Deportivo Pereira vs Union Magdalena with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights