What markets are included in the Derby vs Hull City prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Derby vs Hull City prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Derby vs Hull City

Derby vs Hull City prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-11-04 19:45

Derby

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

55%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Hull City

Away

Prediction Summary

36%

25%

39%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Derby (Home)

Goals scored / match1.35

Goals conceded / match1.17

Over 2.5 rate9%

BTTS rate65%

Hull City (Away)

Goals scored / match1.54

Goals conceded / match1.33

Over 2.5 rate13%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Derby

LWLWL

Hull City

WWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

96% +0.5 88%

30% +1.5 54%

9% +2.5 13%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

65% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Derby averages 1.35 goals scored at home, while Hull City averages 1.54 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

36%

Draw

25%

Away Win

39%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Derby(A) 2 - 4 Hull City Away

Nov 2025 Derby 2 - 1 Hull City Home

Apr 2025 Derby(A) 1 - 0 Hull City Home

Oct 2024 Derby 1 - 1 Hull City Draw

Feb 2022 Derby 3 - 1 Hull City Home

In the last 5 meetings, Derby won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Derby — unbeaten run (home)0

Derby — scoring streak (home)20

Hull City — winless run (away)0

Hull City — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Derby Win (1)36%

Draw (X)25%

Hull City Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

96% +0.5 88%

30% +1.5 54%

9% +2.5 13%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

4% -0.5 12%

70% -1.5 46%

91% -2.5 87%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Derby vs Hull City — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Derby — scored (home)1.35

Derby — conceded (home)1.17

Hull City — scored (away)1.54

Hull City — conceded (away)1.33

Model expected combined goals2.88

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%

No42%

Rate per Team

Derby — BTTS matches (home)65%

Hull City — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)64%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.598%

Under 5.52%

Over 6.594%

Under 6.56%

Over 7.583%

Under 7.517%

Over 8.568%

Under 8.532%

Over 9.566%

Under 9.534%

Over 10.549%

Under 10.551%

Expected total corners (blended average)11.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Derby (home)

Corners for5.5

Corners against4.3

Hull City (away)

Corners for4.6

Corners against7.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Derby

8 10 7 16 10

Hull City

16 8 5 14 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Derby (home)

For2.2

Hull City (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

Derby — total shots (home)11.9

Hull City — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Derby — on target (home)3.7

Hull City — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Derby

Inside the box7.63

Outside the box3.35

Hull City

Inside the box7.59

Outside the box3.53

Player Shots Derby

P. Agyemang

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target14%

S. Szmodics

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target8%

C. Morris

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target10%

B. Brereton

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target13%

J. Banel

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Hull City

O. McBurnie

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target23%

J. Gelhardt

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target19%

M. Belloumi

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target56%

+1.5 On Target12%

K. Joseph

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target13%

L. Millar

Shots on Target/Game0.3

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Derby xG (home)1.23

Hull City xG (away)1.29

Average Possession

44.48% Possession 45%

Team Comparison Derby vs Hull City

73.22% Pass accuracy 72.02%

336.26 Passes per match 351.37

0.02 Goals prevented 0.13

12.22 Fouls committed 11.16

3.15 Goalkeeper saves 3.12

1.6 Offsides 1.73

14.65 Tackles per match 17.67

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Derby vs Hull City prediction analysis

Review Derby vs Hull City with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights