Prediction Analysis: Derby vs Lincoln
Derby vs Lincoln prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
League Cup
2026-08-08
14:00
Derby
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Away Win
Pick
Lincoln
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Lincoln
Away
Prediction Summary
1
21%
X
24%
2
55%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Derby (Home)
Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%
Lincoln (Away)
Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match0.5
Over 2.5 rate50%
BTTS rate50%
Team Form last 5 matches
Derby
LD
Lincoln
LWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
0%
+0.5
100%
0%
+1.5
50%
0%
+2.5
50%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
0%
BTTS
50%
Model Insight
The selected market is Away Win with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.
Derby averages 0 goals scored at home, while Lincoln averages 2 goals scored away.
Model Strength
55%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
21%
Draw
24%
Away Win
55%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
Head-to-Head last 0
No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.
Current Streaks
Lincoln — winless run (away)0
Lincoln — clean sheets (away, last 2)1 of 2
1X2 Probability model
Derby Win (1)21%
Draw (X)24%
Lincoln Win (2)55%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
0%
+0.5
100%
0%
+1.5
50%
0%
+2.5
50%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
100%
-0.5
0%
100%
-1.5
50%
100%
-2.5
50%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Derby vs Lincoln — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Derby — scored (home)0
Derby — conceded (home)0
Lincoln — scored (away)2
Lincoln — conceded (away)0.5
Model expected combined goals2.67
Both Teams To Score
Yes50%
No50%
Rate per Team
Derby — BTTS matches (home)0%
Lincoln — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)25%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Per-Team Corners own matches
Derby (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Lincoln (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Yellow Cards per Team
Derby (home)
For—
Lincoln (away)
For—
Shots per Game
Derby — total shots (home)—
Lincoln — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Derby — on target (home)—
Lincoln — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Derby
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Lincoln
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.
Average Possession
-%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Derby vs Lincoln
0%
Pass accuracy
0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Derby vs Lincoln prediction analysis
Review Derby vs Lincoln with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from League Cup.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
League Cup
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights