Prediction Analysis: Derry City vs Drogheda United
Derry City vs Drogheda United prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Premier Division
2026-06-26
18:45
Derry City
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Drogheda United
Away
Prediction Summary
1
61%
X
21%
2
18%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Derry City (Home)
Goals scored / match1.75
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate60%
Drogheda United (Away)
Goals scored / match1.33
Goals conceded / match1.67
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate67%
Team Form last 5 matches
Derry City
LWLWW
Drogheda United
DWLLD
Goals Comparison rate per team
95%
+0.5
67%
45%
+1.5
67%
15%
+2.5
0%
5%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
60%
BTTS
67%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.
Derry City averages 1.75 goals scored at home, while Drogheda United averages 1.33 goals scored away.
Model Strength
61%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
61%
Draw
21%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jun 2026
Derry City
2 - 0
Drogheda United
Home
Sep 2025
Derry City(A)
1 - 1
Drogheda United
Draw
Aug 2025
Derry City
1 - 1
Drogheda United
Draw
Jun 2025
Derry City
3 - 0
Drogheda United
Home
May 2025
Derry City(A)
1 - 1
Drogheda United
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Derry City won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Derry City — unbeaten run (home)0
Derry City — scoring streak (home)6
Drogheda United — winless run (away)1
Drogheda United — clean sheets (away, last 3)0 of 3
1X2 Probability model
Derry City Win (1)61%
Draw (X)21%
Drogheda United Win (2)18%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
95%
+0.5
67%
45%
+1.5
67%
15%
+2.5
0%
5%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
5%
-0.5
33%
55%
-1.5
33%
85%
-2.5
100%
95%
-3.5
100%
95%
-4.5
100%
Derry City vs Drogheda United — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Derry City — scored (home)1.75
Derry City — conceded (home)1.05
Drogheda United — scored (away)1.33
Drogheda United — conceded (away)1.67
Model expected combined goals3
Both Teams To Score
Yes55%
No45%
Rate per Team
Derry City — BTTS matches (home)60%
Drogheda United — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)63.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.550%
Under 4.550%
Over 5.550%
Under 5.550%
Over 6.550%
Under 6.550%
Over 7.550%
Under 7.550%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)13.00
Per-Team Corners own matches
Derry City (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Drogheda United (away)
Corners for9.0
Corners against4.0
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Drogheda United
13
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.50%
Under 1.5100%
Over 2.50%
Under 2.5100%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)1
Yellow Cards per Team
Derry City (home)
For—
Drogheda United (away)
For1.0
Shots per Game
Derry City — total shots (home)—
Drogheda United — total shots (away)12.0
Shots on Target
Derry City — on target (home)—
Drogheda United — on target (away)2.0
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Derry City
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Drogheda United
Inside the box4
Outside the box8
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
Derry City xG (home)-
Drogheda United xG (away)0.91
Average Possession
-%
Possession
42%
Team Comparison Derry City vs Drogheda United
0%
Pass accuracy
67%
-
Passes per match
283
-
Goals prevented
-0.37
-
Fouls committed
11
-
Goalkeeper saves
0
-
Offsides
1
League average xG this season is 1.12 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Derry City vs Drogheda United prediction analysis
Review Derry City vs Drogheda United with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier Division.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Premier Division
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights