Prediction Analysis: Derry City vs Sligo Rovers
Derry City vs Sligo Rovers prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Premier Division
2026-08-07
18:45
Derry City
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Sligo Rovers
Away
Prediction Summary
1
53%
X
23%
2
24%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Derry City (Home)
Goals scored / match1.75
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate60%
Sligo Rovers (Away)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match2.5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%
Team Form last 5 matches
Derry City
LWLWW
Sligo Rovers
DLLDL
Goals Comparison rate per team
95%
+0.5
50%
45%
+1.5
50%
15%
+2.5
0%
5%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
60%
BTTS
50%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.
Derry City averages 1.75 goals scored at home, while Sligo Rovers averages 1 goals scored away.
Model Strength
57%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
53%
Draw
23%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
Head-to-Head last 5
Oct 2025
Derry City
1 - 0
Sligo Rovers
Home
Jul 2025
Derry City(A)
0 - 2
Sligo Rovers
Away
Apr 2025
Derry City
3 - 0
Sligo Rovers
Home
Mar 2025
Derry City(A)
1 - 0
Sligo Rovers
Home
Oct 2024
Derry City
1 - 1
Sligo Rovers
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Derry City won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Derry City — unbeaten run (home)0
Derry City — scoring streak (home)6
Sligo Rovers — winless run (away)2
Sligo Rovers — clean sheets (away, last 2)0 of 2
1X2 Probability model
Derry City Win (1)53%
Draw (X)23%
Sligo Rovers Win (2)24%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
95%
+0.5
50%
45%
+1.5
50%
15%
+2.5
0%
5%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
5%
-0.5
50%
55%
-1.5
50%
85%
-2.5
100%
95%
-3.5
100%
95%
-4.5
100%
Derry City vs Sligo Rovers — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Derry City — scored (home)1.75
Derry City — conceded (home)1.05
Sligo Rovers — scored (away)1
Sligo Rovers — conceded (away)2.5
Model expected combined goals2.98
Both Teams To Score
Yes57%
No43%
Rate per Team
Derry City — BTTS matches (home)60%
Sligo Rovers — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)55%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Per-Team Corners own matches
Derry City (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Sligo Rovers (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Sligo Rovers
13
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Yellow Cards per Team
Derry City (home)
For—
Sligo Rovers (away)
For—
Shots per Game
Derry City — total shots (home)—
Sligo Rovers — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Derry City — on target (home)—
Sligo Rovers — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Derry City
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Sligo Rovers
Inside the box6
Outside the box5
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
Derry City xG (home)-
Sligo Rovers xG (away)1.69
Average Possession
-%
Possession
58%
Team Comparison Derry City vs Sligo Rovers
0%
Pass accuracy
76%
-
Passes per match
391
-
Goals prevented
-0.37
-
Fouls committed
16
-
Goalkeeper saves
0
-
Offsides
3
League average xG this season is 1.12 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Derry City vs Sligo Rovers prediction analysis
Review Derry City vs Sligo Rovers with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier Division.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Premier Division
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights