Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Dinamo Zagreb vs AC Milan

Dinamo Zagreb vs AC Milan prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-01-29 20:00
Dinamo Zagreb
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
AC Milan
Away

Prediction Summary

1
30%
X
24%
2
45%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Dinamo Zagreb (Home)

Goals scored / match1.4
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate40%

AC Milan (Away)

Goals scored / match1.4
Goals conceded / match1.4
Over 2.5 rate40%
BTTS rate60%

Team Form last 5 matches

Dinamo Zagreb
WLDLW
AC Milan
DLLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 60%
60% +1.5 40%
20% +2.5 40%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
40% BTTS 60%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Dinamo Zagreb averages 1.4 goals scored at home, while AC Milan averages 1.4 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
30%
Draw
24%
Away Win
45%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 3

Jan 2025 Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 1 AC Milan Home
Oct 2022 Dinamo Zagreb 0 - 4 AC Milan Away
Sep 2022 Dinamo Zagreb(A) 1 - 3 AC Milan Away

In the last 3 meetings, Dinamo Zagreb won 1, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Dinamo Zagreb — unbeaten run (home)2
Dinamo Zagreb — scoring streak (home)1
AC Milan — winless run (away)2
AC Milan — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Dinamo Zagreb Win (1)30%
Draw (X)24%
AC Milan Win (2)45%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 60%
60% +1.5 40%
20% +2.5 40%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 40%
40% -1.5 60%
80% -2.5 60%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Dinamo Zagreb vs AC Milan — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Dinamo Zagreb — scored (home)1.4
Dinamo Zagreb — conceded (home)1.2
AC Milan — scored (away)1.4
AC Milan — conceded (away)1.4
Model expected combined goals2.92

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Dinamo Zagreb — BTTS matches (home)40%
AC Milan — BTTS matches (away)60%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.590%
Under 7.510%
Over 8.590%
Under 8.510%
Over 9.560%
Under 9.540%
Over 10.560%
Under 10.540%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Dinamo Zagreb (home)

Corners for3.8
Corners against6.4

AC Milan (away)

Corners for5.4
Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Dinamo Zagreb
14 11 14 14 9
AC Milan
10 9 9 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Dinamo Zagreb (home)

For3.0

AC Milan (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Dinamo Zagreb — total shots (home)11.0
AC Milan — total shots (away)14.2

Shots on Target

Dinamo Zagreb — on target (home)4.0
AC Milan — on target (away)6.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Dinamo Zagreb

Inside the box6.2
Outside the box4.1

AC Milan

Inside the box8.9
Outside the box6

Player Shots Dinamo Zagreb

S. Kulenović
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Rog
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
D. Špikić
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
M. Pjaca
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target13%
S. Mmaee
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots AC Milan

F. Camarda
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
Rafael Leão
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target30%
C. Pulišić
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target78%
+1.5 On Target33%
T. Abraham
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Reijnders
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target20%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Dinamo Zagreb xG (home)0.86
AC Milan xG (away)1.37

Average Possession

38.5% Possession 53.1%

Team Comparison Dinamo Zagreb vs AC Milan

78.1% Pass accuracy 87.5%
337 Passes per match 484.8
-0.34 Goals prevented -0.11
11.5 Fouls committed 10.6
3.5 Goalkeeper saves 4.1
1.5 Offsides 1.4
18.9 Tackles per match 14.9

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Dinamo Zagreb vs AC Milan prediction analysis

Review Dinamo Zagreb vs AC Milan with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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