Prediction Analysis: Dundalk vs Waterford
Dundalk vs Waterford prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Premier Division
2026-06-26
18:45
Dundalk
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
89%
Confidence
High
Score
1-3
Waterford
Away
Prediction Summary
1
22%
X
16%
2
63%
Over 2.5
89%
BTTS Yes
83%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
Dundalk (Home)
Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match2.5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%
Waterford (Away)
Goals scored / match2.33
Goals conceded / match1.33
Over 2.5 rate67%
BTTS rate67%
Team Form last 5 matches
Dundalk
DLLLW
Waterford
DDWWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
100%
+0.5
67%
50%
+1.5
67%
0%
+2.5
67%
0%
+3.5
33%
0%
+4.5
0%
100%
BTTS
67%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 89%. Model confidence is High.
Dundalk averages 1.5 goals scored at home, while Waterford averages 2.33 goals scored away.
Model Strength
89%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
22%
Draw
16%
Away Win
63%
Over 2.5
89%
BTTS Yes
83%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jun 2026
Dundalk
2 - 3
Waterford
Away
Sep 2024
Dundalk(A)
1 - 2
Waterford
Away
Jun 2024
Dundalk
0 - 2
Waterford
Away
May 2024
Dundalk(A)
1 - 4
Waterford
Away
Mar 2024
Dundalk
0 - 0
Waterford
Draw
In the last 5 meetings, Dundalk won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.
Current Streaks
Dundalk — unbeaten run (home)0
Dundalk — scoring streak (home)2
Waterford — winless run (away)1
Waterford — clean sheets (away, last 3)1 of 3
1X2 Probability model
Dundalk Win (1)22%
Draw (X)16%
Waterford Win (2)63%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
100%
+0.5
67%
50%
+1.5
67%
0%
+2.5
67%
0%
+3.5
33%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
0%
-0.5
33%
50%
-1.5
33%
100%
-2.5
33%
100%
-3.5
67%
100%
-4.5
100%
Dundalk vs Waterford — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Dundalk — scored (home)1.5
Dundalk — conceded (home)2.5
Waterford — scored (away)2.33
Waterford — conceded (away)1.33
Model expected combined goals5.25
Both Teams To Score
Yes83%
No17%
Rate per Team
Dundalk — BTTS matches (home)100%
Waterford — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)83.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.550%
Under 4.550%
Over 5.550%
Under 5.550%
Over 6.550%
Under 6.550%
Over 7.550%
Under 7.550%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.50%
Under 10.5100%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00
Per-Team Corners own matches
Dundalk (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Waterford (away)
Corners for5.0
Corners against5.0
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Waterford
10
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.550%
Under 2.550%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6
Yellow Cards per Team
Dundalk (home)
For—
Waterford (away)
For3.0
Shots per Game
Dundalk — total shots (home)—
Waterford — total shots (away)11.0
Shots on Target
Dundalk — on target (home)—
Waterford — on target (away)2.0
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Dundalk
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Waterford
Inside the box5
Outside the box6
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
Dundalk xG (home)-
Waterford xG (away)0.59
Average Possession
-%
Possession
47%
Team Comparison Dundalk vs Waterford
0%
Pass accuracy
56%
-
Passes per match
278
-
Goals prevented
0.23
-
Fouls committed
14
-
Goalkeeper saves
2
-
Offsides
1
League average xG this season is 0.93 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Dundalk vs Waterford prediction analysis
Review Dundalk vs Waterford with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier Division.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Premier Division
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights