Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Dundee Utd vs Celtic

Dundee Utd vs Celtic prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-12-17 20:00
Dundee Utd
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Celtic
Away

Prediction Summary

1
32%
X
27%
2
41%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Dundee Utd (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate47%

Celtic (Away)

Goals scored / match1.58
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Dundee Utd
DDLLW
Celtic
WWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 79%
47% +1.5 58%
16% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Dundee Utd averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Celtic averages 1.58 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
32%
Draw
27%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Dundee Utd 2 - 0 Celtic Home
Jan 2026 Dundee Utd(A) 0 - 4 Celtic Away
Dec 2025 Dundee Utd 2 - 1 Celtic Home
Apr 2025 Dundee Utd 0 - 5 Celtic Away
Feb 2025 Dundee Utd(A) 0 - 3 Celtic Away

In the last 5 meetings, Dundee Utd won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Dundee Utd — unbeaten run (home)7
Dundee Utd — scoring streak (home)0
Celtic — winless run (away)0
Celtic — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Dundee Utd Win (1)32%
Draw (X)27%
Celtic Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 79%
47% +1.5 58%
16% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 21%
53% -1.5 42%
84% -2.5 84%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Dundee Utd vs Celtic — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Dundee Utd — scored (home)1.26
Dundee Utd — conceded (home)1.16
Celtic — scored (away)1.58
Celtic — conceded (away)1.37
Model expected combined goals2.45

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

Dundee Utd — BTTS matches (home)47%
Celtic — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.561%
Under 9.539%
Over 10.553%
Under 10.547%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Dundee Utd (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against5.7

Celtic (away)

Corners for5.6
Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Dundee Utd
6 12 6 15 12
Celtic
16 13 8 7 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Dundee Utd (home)

For2.2

Celtic (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Dundee Utd — total shots (home)14.6
Celtic — total shots (away)14.6

Shots on Target

Dundee Utd — on target (home)4.7
Celtic — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Dundee Utd

Inside the box8.82
Outside the box4.42

Celtic

Inside the box10.82
Outside the box5.58

Player Shots Dundee Utd

A. Ahmed Fatah
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%
Z. Sapsford
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Watters
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
O. Stirton
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
I. Dolček
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target18%

Player Shots Celtic

B. Nygren
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target24%
D. Maeda
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target22%
T. Čvančara
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Kenny
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Ịheanachọ
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Dundee Utd xG (home)1.21
Celtic xG (away)2.02

Average Possession

42.26% Possession 65.53%

Team Comparison Dundee Utd vs Celtic

68.03% Pass accuracy 86.13%
314.68 Passes per match 602.87
-0.18 Goals prevented -0.28
12.89 Fouls committed 12.42
3.32 Goalkeeper saves 2.29
1.69 Offsides 1.5
15.82 Tackles per match 13.92

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Dundee Utd vs Celtic prediction analysis

Review Dundee Utd vs Celtic with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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