Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Dundee Utd vs Dundee

Dundee Utd vs Dundee prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2026-08-22 16:45
Dundee Utd
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Dundee Utd
Probability
52%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Dundee
Away

Prediction Summary

1
52%
X
26%
2
22%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Dundee Utd (Home)

Goals scored / match1.26
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate47%

Dundee (Away)

Goals scored / match0.58
Goals conceded / match1.74
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Dundee Utd
DDLLW
Dundee
WLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 37%
47% +1.5 16%
16% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.

Dundee Utd averages 1.26 goals scored at home, while Dundee averages 0.58 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
52%
Draw
26%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Yes
45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Dundee Utd 3 - 0 Dundee Home
Mar 2026 Dundee Utd(A) 2 - 2 Dundee Draw
Jan 2026 Dundee Utd 0 - 1 Dundee Away
Aug 2025 Dundee Utd(A) 2 - 0 Dundee Home
Mar 2025 Dundee Utd 2 - 4 Dundee Away

In the last 5 meetings, Dundee Utd won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Dundee Utd — unbeaten run (home)7
Dundee Utd — scoring streak (home)0
Dundee — winless run (away)4
Dundee — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Dundee Utd Win (1)52%
Draw (X)26%
Dundee Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 37%
47% +1.5 16%
16% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 63%
53% -1.5 84%
84% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Dundee Utd vs Dundee — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Dundee Utd — scored (home)1.26
Dundee Utd — conceded (home)1.16
Dundee — scored (away)0.58
Dundee — conceded (away)1.74
Model expected combined goals2.37

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%
No55%

Rate per Team

Dundee Utd — BTTS matches (home)47%
Dundee — BTTS matches (away)32%
Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.552%
Under 9.548%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Dundee Utd (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against5.7

Dundee (away)

Corners for3.3
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Dundee Utd
6 12 6 15 12
Dundee
6 11 12 8 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.592%
Under 0.58%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Dundee Utd (home)

For2.2

Dundee (away)

For1.5

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.576%
Under 19.524%
Over 22.564%
Under 22.536%
Over 25.551%
Under 25.549%
Expected total shots26.72

Dundee Utd

Shots Over 9.581%
Shots Over 11.568%
Shots Over 13.554%
Expected shots14.69
On Target Over 3.569%
On Target Over 4.553%
On Target Over 5.538%
Expected on target5.00

Dundee

Shots Over 9.566%
Shots Over 11.550%
Shots Over 13.535%
Expected shots12.03
On Target Over 3.549%
On Target Over 4.532%
On Target Over 5.519%
Expected on target3.71

Shots per Game

Dundee Utd — total shots (home)14.6
Dundee — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Dundee Utd — on target (home)4.7
Dundee — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Dundee Utd

Inside the box8.82
Outside the box4.42

Dundee

Inside the box6
Outside the box4.03

Player Shots Dundee Utd

A. Ahmed Fatah
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%
Z. Sapsford
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Watters
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
O. Stirton
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
I. Dolček
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target18%

Player Shots Dundee

C. Congreve
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target9%
Y. Dhanda
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target11%
E. Hamilton
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target6%
S. Murray
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Westley
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Dundee Utd xG (home)1.21
Dundee xG (away)1.11

Average Possession

42.26% Possession 43.66%

Team Comparison Dundee Utd vs Dundee

68.03% Pass accuracy 75.21%
314.68 Passes per match 353.37
-0.18 Goals prevented -0.35
12.89 Fouls committed 9.34
3.32 Goalkeeper saves 3.71
1.69 Offsides 1.44
15.82 Tackles per match 13.68

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Dundee Utd vs Dundee prediction analysis

Review Dundee Utd vs Dundee with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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