Prediction Analysis: Dundee vs Aberdeen
Dundee vs Aberdeen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Premiership
2026-08-08
14:00
Dundee
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Aberdeen
Away
Prediction Summary
1
52%
X
24%
2
24%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Dundee (Home)
Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate63%
Aberdeen (Away)
Goals scored / match0.63
Goals conceded / match1.68
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate26%
Team Form last 5 matches
Dundee
WLWWL
Aberdeen
LLWDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
84%
+0.5
42%
53%
+1.5
16%
26%
+2.5
5%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
63%
BTTS
26%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.
Dundee averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Aberdeen averages 0.63 goals scored away.
Model Strength
53%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
52%
Draw
24%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
Head-to-Head last 5
May 2026
Dundee
3 - 2
Aberdeen
Home
Feb 2026
Dundee(A)
3 - 2
Aberdeen
Home
Dec 2025
Dundee
1 - 3
Aberdeen
Away
Oct 2025
Dundee(A)
0 - 4
Aberdeen
Away
Feb 2025
Dundee
1 - 2
Aberdeen
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Dundee won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.
Current Streaks
Dundee — unbeaten run (home)3
Dundee — scoring streak (home)8
Aberdeen — winless run (away)12
Aberdeen — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Dundee Win (1)52%
Draw (X)24%
Aberdeen Win (2)24%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
84%
+0.5
42%
53%
+1.5
16%
26%
+2.5
5%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
16%
-0.5
58%
47%
-1.5
84%
74%
-2.5
95%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Dundee vs Aberdeen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Dundee — scored (home)1.63
Dundee — conceded (home)1.47
Aberdeen — scored (away)0.63
Aberdeen — conceded (away)1.68
Model expected combined goals2.71
Both Teams To Score
Yes53%
No47%
Rate per Team
Dundee — BTTS matches (home)63%
Aberdeen — BTTS matches (away)26%
Combined (simple average)44.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.552%
Under 9.548%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.00
Per-Team Corners own matches
Dundee (home)
Corners for4.5
Corners against5.6
Aberdeen (away)
Corners for3.6
Corners against5.8
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Dundee
6
11
12
8
9
Aberdeen
11
9
6
7
9
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.592%
Under 0.58%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.569%
Under 2.531%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7
Yellow Cards per Team
Dundee (home)
For1.4
Aberdeen (away)
For2.9
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.573%
Under 19.527%
Over 22.560%
Under 22.540%
Over 25.547%
Under 25.553%
Expected total shots25.85
Dundee
Shots Over 9.577%
Shots Over 11.563%
Shots Over 13.548%
Expected shots13.84
On Target Over 3.564%
On Target Over 4.548%
On Target Over 5.533%
Expected on target4.66
Aberdeen
Shots Over 9.566%
Shots Over 11.550%
Shots Over 13.535%
Expected shots12.00
On Target Over 3.550%
On Target Over 4.533%
On Target Over 5.520%
Expected on target3.77
Shots per Game
Dundee — total shots (home)10.9
Aberdeen — total shots (away)10.1
Shots on Target
Dundee — on target (home)3.7
Aberdeen — on target (away)2.4
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Dundee
Inside the box6
Outside the box4.03
Aberdeen
Inside the box7.42
Outside the box3.87
Player Shots Dundee
C. Congreve
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target9%
Y. Dhanda
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target11%
E. Hamilton
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target6%
S. Murray
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Westley
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target9%
Player Shots Aberdeen
J. Karlsson
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target22%
A. Aouchiche
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target10%
K. Nisbet
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target17%
D. Polvara
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target6%
S. Armstrong
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target4%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Dundee xG (home)1.11
Aberdeen xG (away)1.06
Average Possession
43.66%
Possession
48.05%
Team Comparison Dundee vs Aberdeen
75.21%
Pass accuracy
76.18%
353.37
Passes per match
392.42
-0.35
Goals prevented
-0.41
9.34
Fouls committed
14.29
3.71
Goalkeeper saves
3.18
1.44
Offsides
1.81
13.68
Tackles per match
15.63
League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Dundee vs Aberdeen prediction analysis
Review Dundee vs Aberdeen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights