Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Dundee vs Dundee Utd

Dundee vs Dundee Utd prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-08-31 13:00
Dundee
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
62%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Dundee Utd
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
23%
2
30%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Dundee (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate63%

Dundee Utd (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Dundee
WLWWL
Dundee Utd
DDLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 68%
53% +1.5 47%
26% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

Dundee averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Dundee Utd averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
23%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
63%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Dundee(A) 0 - 3 Dundee Utd Away
Mar 2026 Dundee 2 - 2 Dundee Utd Draw
Jan 2026 Dundee(A) 1 - 0 Dundee Utd Home
Aug 2025 Dundee 0 - 2 Dundee Utd Away
Mar 2025 Dundee(A) 4 - 2 Dundee Utd Home

In the last 5 meetings, Dundee won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Dundee — unbeaten run (home)3
Dundee — scoring streak (home)8
Dundee Utd — winless run (away)6
Dundee Utd — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Dundee Win (1)47%
Draw (X)23%
Dundee Utd Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 68%
53% +1.5 47%
26% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 32%
47% -1.5 53%
74% -2.5 84%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Dundee vs Dundee Utd — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Dundee — scored (home)1.63
Dundee — conceded (home)1.47
Dundee Utd — scored (away)1.32
Dundee Utd — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals3.21

Both Teams To Score

Yes63%
No37%

Rate per Team

Dundee — BTTS matches (home)63%
Dundee Utd — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)63%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.576%
Under 6.524%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.558%
Under 9.542%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Dundee (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against5.6

Dundee Utd (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Dundee
6 11 12 8 9
Dundee Utd
6 12 6 15 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.566%
Under 2.534%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Dundee (home)

For1.4

Dundee Utd (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Dundee — total shots (home)10.9
Dundee Utd — total shots (away)11.8

Shots on Target

Dundee — on target (home)3.7
Dundee Utd — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Dundee

Inside the box6
Outside the box4.03

Dundee Utd

Inside the box8.82
Outside the box4.42

Player Shots Dundee

C. Congreve
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target9%
Y. Dhanda
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target11%
E. Hamilton
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target6%
S. Murray
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Westley
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Dundee Utd

A. Ahmed Fatah
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target20%
Z. Sapsford
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Watters
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
O. Stirton
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
I. Dolček
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Dundee xG (home)1.11
Dundee Utd xG (away)1.21

Average Possession

43.66% Possession 42.26%

Team Comparison Dundee vs Dundee Utd

75.21% Pass accuracy 68.03%
353.37 Passes per match 314.68
-0.35 Goals prevented -0.18
9.34 Fouls committed 12.89
3.71 Goalkeeper saves 3.32
1.44 Offsides 1.69
13.68 Tackles per match 15.82

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Dundee vs Dundee Utd prediction analysis

Review Dundee vs Dundee Utd with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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