Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Dundee vs Falkirk

Dundee vs Falkirk prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-12-27 15:00
Dundee
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Falkirk
Away

Prediction Summary

1
41%
X
25%
2
34%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Dundee (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate63%

Falkirk (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.56
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate33%

Team Form last 5 matches

Dundee
WLWWL
Falkirk
LLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 56%
53% +1.5 28%
26% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 33%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

Dundee averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Falkirk averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
41%
Draw
25%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 4

Feb 2026 Dundee(A) 0 - 1 Falkirk Away
Dec 2025 Dundee 1 - 0 Falkirk Home
Oct 2025 Dundee(A) 1 - 2 Falkirk Away
Aug 2022 Dundee 3 - 0 Falkirk Home

In the last 4 meetings, Dundee won 2, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Dundee — unbeaten run (home)3
Dundee — scoring streak (home)8
Falkirk — winless run (away)2
Falkirk — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Dundee Win (1)41%
Draw (X)25%
Falkirk Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 56%
53% +1.5 28%
26% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 44%
47% -1.5 72%
74% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Dundee vs Falkirk — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Dundee — scored (home)1.63
Dundee — conceded (home)1.47
Falkirk — scored (away)0.94
Falkirk — conceded (away)1.56
Model expected combined goals2.79

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Dundee — BTTS matches (home)63%
Falkirk — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)48%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.589%
Under 7.511%
Over 8.584%
Under 8.516%
Over 9.573%
Under 9.527%
Over 10.549%
Under 10.551%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Dundee (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against5.6

Falkirk (away)

Corners for5.1
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Dundee
6 11 12 8 9
Falkirk
16 7 11 10 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Dundee (home)

For1.4

Falkirk (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Dundee — total shots (home)10.9
Falkirk — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Dundee — on target (home)3.7
Falkirk — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Dundee

Inside the box6
Outside the box4.03

Falkirk

Inside the box7.42
Outside the box4.37

Player Shots Dundee

C. Congreve
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target9%
Y. Dhanda
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target11%
E. Hamilton
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target6%
S. Murray
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Westley
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Falkirk

B. Stewart
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target18%
R. MacIver
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
C. Miller
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target16%
Brian Graham
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target5%
B. Broggio
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Dundee xG (home)1.11
Falkirk xG (away)1.37

Average Possession

43.66% Possession 50.79%

Team Comparison Dundee vs Falkirk

75.21% Pass accuracy 76.66%
353.37 Passes per match 400.39
-0.35 Goals prevented -0.43
9.34 Fouls committed 12.05
3.71 Goalkeeper saves 3.03
1.44 Offsides 2.14
13.68 Tackles per match 18.11

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Dundee vs Falkirk prediction analysis

Review Dundee vs Falkirk with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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