Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Dundee vs Livingston

Dundee vs Livingston prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-09-20 14:00
Dundee
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Livingston
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
28%
2
36%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Dundee (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate63%

Livingston (Away)

Goals scored / match0.8
Goals conceded / match1.95
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate45%

Team Form last 5 matches

Dundee
WLWWL
Livingston
LDLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 50%
53% +1.5 30%
26% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 45%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Dundee averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Livingston averages 0.8 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
28%
Away Win
36%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jun 2026 Dundee(A) 0 - 2 Livingston Away
May 2026 Dundee 3 - 0 Livingston Home
Feb 2026 Dundee 2 - 2 Livingston Draw
Dec 2025 Dundee(A) 2 - 2 Livingston Draw
Sep 2025 Dundee 3 - 2 Livingston Home

In the last 5 meetings, Dundee won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Dundee — unbeaten run (home)3
Dundee — scoring streak (home)8
Livingston — winless run (away)2
Livingston — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Dundee Win (1)36%
Draw (X)28%
Livingston Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 50%
53% +1.5 30%
26% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 50%
47% -1.5 70%
74% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Dundee vs Livingston — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Dundee — scored (home)1.63
Dundee — conceded (home)1.47
Livingston — scored (away)0.8
Livingston — conceded (away)1.95
Model expected combined goals2.33

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Dundee — BTTS matches (home)63%
Livingston — BTTS matches (away)45%
Combined (simple average)54%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.577%
Under 8.523%
Over 9.570%
Under 9.530%
Over 10.554%
Under 10.546%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Dundee (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against5.6

Livingston (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against6.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Dundee
6 11 12 8 9
Livingston
15 9 12 15 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.564%
Under 2.536%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Dundee (home)

For1.4

Livingston (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Dundee — total shots (home)10.9
Livingston — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

Dundee — on target (home)3.7
Livingston — on target (away)2.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Dundee

Inside the box6
Outside the box4.03

Livingston

Inside the box6.29
Outside the box3.53

Player Shots Dundee

C. Congreve
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target9%
Y. Dhanda
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target11%
E. Hamilton
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target6%
S. Murray
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Westley
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Livingston

T. Yengi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. May
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target6%
R. Muirhead
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%
C. McLennan
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Smith
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Dundee xG (home)1.11
Livingston xG (away)1.09

Average Possession

43.66% Possession 44.97%

Team Comparison Dundee vs Livingston

75.21% Pass accuracy 73.13%
353.37 Passes per match 372.84
-0.35 Goals prevented 0.11
9.34 Fouls committed 12.89
3.71 Goalkeeper saves 3.05
1.44 Offsides 1.49
13.68 Tackles per match 15.92

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Dundee vs Livingston prediction analysis

Review Dundee vs Livingston with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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