Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Dundee vs Motherwell

Dundee vs Motherwell prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-09-13 14:00
Dundee
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Motherwell
Away

Prediction Summary

1
37%
X
25%
2
38%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Dundee (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate63%

Motherwell (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Dundee
WLWWL
Motherwell
WLDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 74%
53% +1.5 37%
26% +2.5 21%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
63% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Dundee averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Motherwell averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
37%
Draw
25%
Away Win
38%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Dundee 2 - 1 Motherwell Home
Dec 2025 Dundee(A) 0 - 1 Motherwell Away
Sep 2025 Dundee 1 - 1 Motherwell Draw
May 2025 Dundee 1 - 2 Motherwell Away
Feb 2025 Dundee(A) 1 - 2 Motherwell Away

In the last 5 meetings, Dundee won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Dundee — unbeaten run (home)3
Dundee — scoring streak (home)8
Motherwell — winless run (away)0
Motherwell — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Dundee Win (1)37%
Draw (X)25%
Motherwell Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 74%
53% +1.5 37%
26% +2.5 21%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 26%
47% -1.5 63%
74% -2.5 79%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

Dundee vs Motherwell — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Dundee — scored (home)1.63
Dundee — conceded (home)1.47
Motherwell — scored (away)1.42
Motherwell — conceded (away)1.21
Model expected combined goals2.87

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%
No42%

Rate per Team

Dundee — BTTS matches (home)63%
Motherwell — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.576%
Under 6.524%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.566%
Under 8.534%
Over 9.561%
Under 9.539%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Dundee (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against5.6

Motherwell (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Dundee
6 11 12 8 9
Motherwell
12 7 8 7 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.569%
Under 2.531%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Dundee (home)

For1.4

Motherwell (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Dundee — total shots (home)10.9
Motherwell — total shots (away)12.3

Shots on Target

Dundee — on target (home)3.7
Motherwell — on target (away)4.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Dundee

Inside the box6
Outside the box4.03

Motherwell

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box4.68

Player Shots Dundee

C. Congreve
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target9%
Y. Dhanda
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target11%
E. Hamilton
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target6%
S. Murray
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Westley
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Motherwell

Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target37%
C. Slattery
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Just
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Stamatelopoulos
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
C. Hendry
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Dundee xG (home)1.11
Motherwell xG (away)1.41

Average Possession

43.66% Possession 57.89%

Team Comparison Dundee vs Motherwell

75.21% Pass accuracy 84.5%
353.37 Passes per match 533
-0.35 Goals prevented -0.06
9.34 Fouls committed 11.66
3.71 Goalkeeper saves 2.63
1.44 Offsides 2.24
13.68 Tackles per match 14.55

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Dundee vs Motherwell prediction analysis

Review Dundee vs Motherwell with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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