Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Dundee vs ST Mirren

Dundee vs ST Mirren prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premiership 2025-11-29 15:00
Dundee
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
ST Mirren
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
26%
2
33%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Dundee (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate63%

ST Mirren (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.7
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate60%

Team Form last 5 matches

Dundee
WLWWL
ST Mirren
WDDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 65%
53% +1.5 25%
26% +2.5 10%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 60%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Dundee averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while ST Mirren averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
26%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Dundee 1 - 0 ST Mirren Home
Jan 2026 Dundee(A) 0 - 0 ST Mirren Draw
Nov 2025 Dundee 3 - 1 ST Mirren Home
Sep 2025 Dundee(A) 0 - 1 ST Mirren Away
Apr 2025 Dundee 2 - 0 ST Mirren Home

In the last 5 meetings, Dundee won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Dundee — unbeaten run (home)3
Dundee — scoring streak (home)8
ST Mirren — winless run (away)1
ST Mirren — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Dundee Win (1)40%
Draw (X)26%
ST Mirren Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 65%
53% +1.5 25%
26% +2.5 10%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 35%
47% -1.5 75%
74% -2.5 90%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Dundee vs ST Mirren — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Dundee — scored (home)1.63
Dundee — conceded (home)1.47
ST Mirren — scored (away)1
ST Mirren — conceded (away)1.7
Model expected combined goals2.62

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Dundee — BTTS matches (home)63%
ST Mirren — BTTS matches (away)60%
Combined (simple average)61.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.582%
Under 7.518%
Over 8.577%
Under 8.523%
Over 9.570%
Under 9.530%
Over 10.557%
Under 10.543%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Dundee (home)

Corners for4.5
Corners against5.6

ST Mirren (away)

Corners for5.5
Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Dundee
6 11 12 8 9
ST Mirren
5 7 12 0 0

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.562%
Under 2.538%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3

Yellow Cards per Team

Dundee (home)

For1.4

ST Mirren (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Dundee — total shots (home)10.9
ST Mirren — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

Dundee — on target (home)3.7
ST Mirren — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Dundee

Inside the box6
Outside the box4.03

ST Mirren

Inside the box7.97
Outside the box3.89

Player Shots Dundee

C. Congreve
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target9%
Y. Dhanda
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target11%
E. Hamilton
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target6%
S. Murray
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target3%
J. Westley
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots ST Mirren

L. Douglas
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Mandron
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target51%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Ayunga
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Nlundulu
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target7%
K. Phillips
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Dundee xG (home)1.11
ST Mirren xG (away)0.98

Average Possession

43.66% Possession 46.29%

Team Comparison Dundee vs ST Mirren

75.21% Pass accuracy 74.18%
353.37 Passes per match 373.26
-0.35 Goals prevented 0.1
9.34 Fouls committed 12.74
3.71 Goalkeeper saves 2.84
1.44 Offsides 2.24
13.68 Tackles per match 14.55

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Dundee vs ST Mirren prediction analysis

Review Dundee vs ST Mirren with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premiership.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premiership
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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