Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Dynamo Dresden vs Fortuna Düsseldorf

Dynamo Dresden vs Fortuna Düsseldorf prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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2. Bundesliga 2025-11-30 12:30
Dynamo Dresden
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
25%
2
40%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Dynamo Dresden (Home)

Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match1.29
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate65%

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Away)

Goals scored / match0.65
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Dynamo Dresden
WLWLW
Fortuna Düsseldorf
LWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 53%
53% +1.5 12%
18% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
65% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Dynamo Dresden averages 1.76 goals scored at home, while Fortuna Düsseldorf averages 0.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
25%
Away Win
40%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Dynamo Dresden(A) 1 - 3 Fortuna Düsseldorf Away
Nov 2025 Dynamo Dresden 2 - 1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Home
Aug 2024 Dynamo Dresden 2 - 0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Home
Apr 2022 Dynamo Dresden(A) 2 - 2 Fortuna Düsseldorf Draw
Nov 2021 Dynamo Dresden 1 - 0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Home

In the last 5 meetings, Dynamo Dresden won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Dynamo Dresden — unbeaten run (home)3
Dynamo Dresden — scoring streak (home)3
Fortuna Düsseldorf — winless run (away)5
Fortuna Düsseldorf — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Dynamo Dresden Win (1)36%
Draw (X)25%
Fortuna Düsseldorf Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 53%
53% +1.5 12%
18% +2.5 0%
6% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 47%
47% -1.5 88%
82% -2.5 100%
94% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

Dynamo Dresden vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Dynamo Dresden — scored (home)1.76
Dynamo Dresden — conceded (home)1.29
Fortuna Düsseldorf — scored (away)0.65
Fortuna Düsseldorf — conceded (away)1.59
Model expected combined goals2.92

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

Dynamo Dresden — BTTS matches (home)65%
Fortuna Düsseldorf — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Dynamo Dresden (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against5.3

Fortuna Düsseldorf (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Dynamo Dresden
9 9 11 14 12
Fortuna Düsseldorf
13 9 5 7 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.591%
Under 2.59%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Dynamo Dresden (home)

For2.0

Fortuna Düsseldorf (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

Dynamo Dresden — total shots (home)12.6
Fortuna Düsseldorf — total shots (away)12.6

Shots on Target

Dynamo Dresden — on target (home)4.4
Fortuna Düsseldorf — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Dynamo Dresden

Inside the box8.38
Outside the box4.56

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Inside the box8.24
Outside the box4.35

Player Shots Dynamo Dresden

R. Wagner
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Lemmer
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Sterner
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target12%
+1.5 On Target6%
N. Hauptmann
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target13%
V. Vermeij
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Fortuna Düsseldorf

J. Daland
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target4%
+1.5 On Target4%
C. Itten
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target40%
C. Rasmussen
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
F. Muslija
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target7%
D. Schmidt
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Dynamo Dresden xG (home)1.48
Fortuna Düsseldorf xG (away)1.2

Average Possession

50.15% Possession 49.26%

Team Comparison Dynamo Dresden vs Fortuna Düsseldorf

79.79% Pass accuracy 79.71%
429.06 Passes per match 414.65
-0.26 Goals prevented 0.01
10.76 Fouls committed 12.32
2.59 Goalkeeper saves 3.35
2 Offsides 1.85
16.12 Tackles per match 17.24

League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Dynamo Dresden vs Fortuna Düsseldorf prediction analysis

Review Dynamo Dresden vs Fortuna Düsseldorf with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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