Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Eibar vs Tenerife

Eibar vs Tenerife prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Segunda División 2026-08-16 15:00
Eibar
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Eibar
Probability
53%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Tenerife
Away

Prediction Summary

1
53%
X
26%
2
21%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Eibar (Home)

Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match0.81
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate52%

Tenerife (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Eibar
LWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

86% +0.5 0%
62% +1.5 0%
29% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
52% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

Eibar averages 1.76 goals scored at home, while Tenerife averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
53%
Draw
26%
Away Win
21%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
44%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2025 Eibar(A) 1 - 1 Tenerife Draw
Sep 2024 Eibar 1 - 0 Tenerife Home
Apr 2024 Eibar(A) 1 - 2 Tenerife Away
Sep 2023 Eibar 3 - 0 Tenerife Home
Mar 2023 Eibar(A) 1 - 0 Tenerife Home

In the last 5 meetings, Eibar won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Eibar — unbeaten run (home)1
Eibar — scoring streak (home)5

1X2 Probability model

Eibar Win (1)53%
Draw (X)26%
Tenerife Win (2)21%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

86% +0.5 0%
62% +1.5 0%
29% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

14% -0.5 100%
38% -1.5 100%
71% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Eibar vs Tenerife — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Eibar — scored (home)1.76
Eibar — conceded (home)0.81
Tenerife — scored (away)0
Tenerife — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.34

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%
No56%

Rate per Team

Eibar — BTTS matches (home)52%
Tenerife — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)26%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Eibar (home)

Corners for5.0
Corners against3.9

Tenerife (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Eibar
8 10 8 15 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.545%
Under 2.555%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Eibar (home)

For2.5

Tenerife (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.568%
Under 19.532%
Over 22.552%
Under 22.548%
Over 25.537%
Under 25.563%
Expected total shots23.52

Eibar

Shots Over 9.576%
Shots Over 11.560%
Shots Over 13.544%
Expected shots13.16
On Target Over 3.566%
On Target Over 4.549%
On Target Over 5.534%
Expected on target4.70

Tenerife

Shots Over 9.555%
Shots Over 11.536%
Shots Over 13.521%
Expected shots10.36
On Target Over 3.539%
On Target Over 4.523%
On Target Over 5.512%
Expected on target3.19

Shots per Game

Eibar — total shots (home)14.0
Tenerife — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Eibar — on target (home)5.1
Tenerife — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Eibar

Inside the box7.74
Outside the box3.62

Tenerife

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Eibar

Olaetxea
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target3%
+1.5 On Target3%
Jon Bautista
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target19%
Javi Martón
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target18%
Malcom Adu
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target11%
José Corpas
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Tenerife

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Eibar xG (home)1.56
Tenerife xG (away)-

Average Possession

48.71% Possession -%

Team Comparison Eibar vs Tenerife

80.39% Pass accuracy 0%
428.93 Passes per match -
0 Goals prevented -
13.45 Fouls committed -
2.86 Goalkeeper saves -
2.03 Offsides -
16.74 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Eibar vs Tenerife prediction analysis

Review Eibar vs Tenerife with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Segunda División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Segunda División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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