Prediction Analysis: Eibar vs Valladolid
Eibar vs Valladolid prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Segunda División
2026-08-23
15:00
Eibar
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
49%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Valladolid
Away
Prediction Summary
1
57%
X
24%
2
19%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Eibar (Home)
Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match0.81
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate52%
Valladolid (Away)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate14%
BTTS rate48%
Team Form last 5 matches
Eibar
LWLWL
Valladolid
LLLWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
86%
+0.5
62%
62%
+1.5
19%
29%
+2.5
14%
0%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
0%
52%
BTTS
48%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Medium.
Eibar averages 1.76 goals scored at home, while Valladolid averages 1 goals scored away.
Model Strength
57%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
57%
Draw
24%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
Eibar(A)
0 - 0
Valladolid
Draw
Dec 2025
Eibar
3 - 0
Valladolid
Home
Mar 2024
Eibar(A)
1 - 3
Valladolid
Away
Oct 2023
Eibar
5 - 1
Valladolid
Home
May 2022
Eibar
0 - 2
Valladolid
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Eibar won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Eibar — unbeaten run (home)1
Eibar — scoring streak (home)5
Valladolid — winless run (away)10
Valladolid — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Eibar Win (1)57%
Draw (X)24%
Valladolid Win (2)19%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
86%
+0.5
62%
62%
+1.5
19%
29%
+2.5
14%
0%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
14%
-0.5
38%
38%
-1.5
81%
71%
-2.5
86%
100%
-3.5
95%
100%
-4.5
100%
Eibar vs Valladolid — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Eibar — scored (home)1.76
Eibar — conceded (home)0.81
Valladolid — scored (away)1
Valladolid — conceded (away)1.71
Model expected combined goals2.64
Both Teams To Score
Yes49%
No51%
Rate per Team
Eibar — BTTS matches (home)52%
Valladolid — BTTS matches (away)48%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40
Per-Team Corners own matches
Eibar (home)
Corners for5.0
Corners against3.9
Valladolid (away)
Corners for4.6
Corners against4.2
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Eibar
8
10
8
15
14
Valladolid
10
6
8
9
4
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7
Yellow Cards per Team
Eibar (home)
For2.5
Valladolid (away)
For2.9
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.573%
Under 19.527%
Over 22.557%
Under 22.543%
Over 25.542%
Under 25.558%
Expected total shots24.56
Eibar
Shots Over 9.580%
Shots Over 11.565%
Shots Over 13.548%
Expected shots13.73
On Target Over 3.570%
On Target Over 4.554%
On Target Over 5.538%
Expected on target5.01
Valladolid
Shots Over 9.559%
Shots Over 11.540%
Shots Over 13.525%
Expected shots10.82
On Target Over 3.544%
On Target Over 4.527%
On Target Over 5.515%
Expected on target3.45
Shots per Game
Eibar — total shots (home)14.0
Valladolid — total shots (away)10.9
Shots on Target
Eibar — on target (home)5.1
Valladolid — on target (away)3.4
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Eibar
Inside the box7.74
Outside the box3.62
Valladolid
Inside the box8.43
Outside the box3.98
Player Shots Eibar
Olaetxea
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target3%
+1.5 On Target3%
Jon Bautista
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target19%
Javi Martón
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target18%
Malcom Adu
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target11%
José Corpas
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target13%
Player Shots Valladolid
Juanmi Latasa
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target18%
Marcos André
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target9%
Peter
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target11%
Sergi Canós
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target10%
Guille Bueno
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target5%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Eibar xG (home)1.56
Valladolid xG (away)1.41
Average Possession
48.71%
Possession
49.67%
Team Comparison Eibar vs Valladolid
80.39%
Pass accuracy
73.27%
428.93
Passes per match
390.07
0
Goals prevented
0
13.45
Fouls committed
15.6
2.86
Goalkeeper saves
2.63
2.03
Offsides
2.46
16.74
Tackles per match
18.57
League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Eibar vs Valladolid prediction analysis
Review Eibar vs Valladolid with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Segunda División.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Segunda División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights