Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Ajax

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Ajax prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-03-13 17:45
Eintracht Frankfurt
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Ajax
Away

Prediction Summary

1
37%
X
27%
2
37%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Eintracht Frankfurt (Home)

Goals scored / match1.83
Goals conceded / match0.83
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate33%

Ajax (Away)

Goals scored / match1.67
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate44%

Team Form last 5 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt
LDWWL
Ajax
LLLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 78%
50% +1.5 44%
33% +2.5 33%
17% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 0%
33% BTTS 44%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Eintracht Frankfurt averages 1.83 goals scored at home, while Ajax averages 1.67 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
37%
Draw
27%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2025 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 - 1 Ajax Home
Mar 2025 Eintracht Frankfurt(A) 2 - 1 Ajax Home

In the last 2 meetings, Eintracht Frankfurt won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Eintracht Frankfurt — unbeaten run (home)0
Eintracht Frankfurt — scoring streak (home)0
Ajax — winless run (away)1
Ajax — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Eintracht Frankfurt Win (1)37%
Draw (X)27%
Ajax Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 78%
50% +1.5 44%
33% +2.5 33%
17% +3.5 11%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 22%
50% -1.5 56%
67% -2.5 67%
83% -3.5 89%
100% -4.5 100%

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Ajax — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Eintracht Frankfurt — scored (home)1.83
Eintracht Frankfurt — conceded (home)0.83
Ajax — scored (away)1.67
Ajax — conceded (away)1.11
Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Eintracht Frankfurt — BTTS matches (home)33%
Ajax — BTTS matches (away)44%
Combined (simple average)38.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.584%
Under 4.516%
Over 5.578%
Under 5.522%
Over 6.564%
Under 6.536%
Over 7.564%
Under 7.536%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.536%
Under 9.564%
Over 10.531%
Under 10.569%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Eintracht Frankfurt (home)

Corners for5.5
Corners against4.5

Ajax (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Eintracht Frankfurt
7 11 8 12 15
Ajax
12 10 13 11 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.578%
Under 0.522%
Over 1.570%
Under 1.530%
Over 2.559%
Under 2.541%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Eintracht Frankfurt (home)

For2.5

Ajax (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Eintracht Frankfurt — total shots (home)15.5
Ajax — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

Eintracht Frankfurt — on target (home)6.2
Ajax — on target (away)5.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Eintracht Frankfurt

Inside the box8.83
Outside the box4.08

Ajax

Inside the box8.67
Outside the box3.83

Player Shots Eintracht Frankfurt

H. Ekitike
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Dahoud
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
I. Matanović
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
H. Larsson
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
M. Götze
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Ajax

O. Edvardsen
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Brobbey
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target38%
W. Weghorst
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
K. Hlynsson
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Godts
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Eintracht Frankfurt xG (home)1.36
Ajax xG (away)1.72

Average Possession

54.25% Possession 50.92%

Team Comparison Eintracht Frankfurt vs Ajax

83.42% Pass accuracy 82.58%
525.42 Passes per match 484
0.06 Goals prevented 0.4
10.75 Fouls committed 13.46
3.17 Goalkeeper saves 3.31
1.42 Offsides 1.38
19.83 Tackles per match 19.25

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Ajax prediction analysis

Review Eintracht Frankfurt vs Ajax with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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