Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2026-01-09 19:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Borussia Dortmund
Away

Prediction Summary

1
35%
X
25%
2
40%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Eintracht Frankfurt (Home)

Goals scored / match1.71
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate59%

Borussia Dortmund (Away)

Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt
DLLDL
Borussia Dortmund
WWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 94%
47% +1.5 65%
24% +2.5 18%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Medium.

Eintracht Frankfurt averages 1.71 goals scored at home, while Borussia Dortmund averages 1.76 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
35%
Draw
25%
Away Win
40%
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Eintracht Frankfurt(A) 2 - 3 Borussia Dortmund Away
Jan 2026 Eintracht Frankfurt 3 - 3 Borussia Dortmund Draw
Oct 2025 Eintracht Frankfurt 1 - 1 Borussia Dortmund Draw
Jan 2025 Eintracht Frankfurt 2 - 0 Borussia Dortmund Home
Aug 2024 Eintracht Frankfurt(A) 0 - 2 Borussia Dortmund Away

In the last 5 meetings, Eintracht Frankfurt won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Eintracht Frankfurt — unbeaten run (home)1
Eintracht Frankfurt — scoring streak (home)14
Borussia Dortmund — winless run (away)0
Borussia Dortmund — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Eintracht Frankfurt Win (1)35%
Draw (X)25%
Borussia Dortmund Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 94%
47% +1.5 65%
24% +2.5 18%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 6%
53% -1.5 35%
76% -2.5 82%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Eintracht Frankfurt — scored (home)1.71
Eintracht Frankfurt — conceded (home)1.59
Borussia Dortmund — scored (away)1.76
Borussia Dortmund — conceded (away)1.06
Model expected combined goals2.81

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

Eintracht Frankfurt — BTTS matches (home)59%
Borussia Dortmund — BTTS matches (away)59%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.562%
Under 7.538%
Over 8.547%
Under 8.553%
Over 9.536%
Under 9.564%
Over 10.530%
Under 10.570%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Eintracht Frankfurt (home)

Corners for5.4
Corners against3.9

Borussia Dortmund (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Eintracht Frankfurt
10 16 13 8 12
Borussia Dortmund
7 5 2 8 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Eintracht Frankfurt (home)

For1.8

Borussia Dortmund (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Eintracht Frankfurt — total shots (home)13.2
Borussia Dortmund — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

Eintracht Frankfurt — on target (home)5.3
Borussia Dortmund — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Eintracht Frankfurt

Inside the box8.09
Outside the box3.94

Borussia Dortmund

Inside the box9.68
Outside the box3.38

Player Shots Eintracht Frankfurt

J. Burkardt
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target18%
C. Uzun
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Kalimuendo
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target26%
A. Knauff
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target14%
R. Dōan
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Borussia Dortmund

S. Guirassy
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target27%
S. Inacio
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Beier
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target19%
J. Brandt
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target14%
K. Adeyemi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Eintracht Frankfurt xG (home)1.35
Borussia Dortmund xG (away)1.88

Average Possession

54.97% Possession 53.24%

Team Comparison Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund

83.32% Pass accuracy 83.21%
498.18 Passes per match 493.21
-0.17 Goals prevented 0.14
10.35 Fouls committed 11.71
2.94 Goalkeeper saves 2.62
1.32 Offsides 1.18
15.65 Tackles per match 14.44

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund prediction analysis

Review Eintracht Frankfurt vs Borussia Dortmund with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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