Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay

El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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USL Championship 2026-08-06 01:00
El Paso Locomotive
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
El Paso Locomotive
Probability
55%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Monterey Bay
Away

Prediction Summary

1
55%
X
23%
2
22%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

El Paso Locomotive (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate59%

Monterey Bay (Away)

Goals scored / match0.67
Goals conceded / match1.67
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate33%

Team Form last 5 matches

El Paso Locomotive
WLWLL
Monterey Bay
LLDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

82% +0.5 33%
59% +1.5 33%
29% +2.5 0%
12% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 33%

Model Insight

The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

El Paso Locomotive averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while Monterey Bay averages 0.67 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
55%
Draw
23%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jun 2026 El Paso Locomotive(A) 0 - 1 Monterey Bay Away
Aug 2025 El Paso Locomotive 2 - 2 Monterey Bay Draw
Jun 2025 El Paso Locomotive(A) 2 - 1 Monterey Bay Home
Aug 2024 El Paso Locomotive(A) 0 - 0 Monterey Bay Draw
Mar 2024 El Paso Locomotive 1 - 1 Monterey Bay Draw

In the last 5 meetings, El Paso Locomotive won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

El Paso Locomotive — unbeaten run (home)1
El Paso Locomotive — scoring streak (home)1
Monterey Bay — winless run (away)3
Monterey Bay — clean sheets (away, last 3)1 of 3

1X2 Probability model

El Paso Locomotive Win (1)55%
Draw (X)23%
Monterey Bay Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

82% +0.5 33%
59% +1.5 33%
29% +2.5 0%
12% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

18% -0.5 67%
41% -1.5 67%
71% -2.5 100%
88% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

El Paso Locomotive — scored (home)1.94
El Paso Locomotive — conceded (home)1.41
Monterey Bay — scored (away)0.67
Monterey Bay — conceded (away)1.67
Model expected combined goals2.84

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

El Paso Locomotive — BTTS matches (home)59%
Monterey Bay — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)46%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Per-Team Corners own matches

El Paso Locomotive (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Monterey Bay (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.

Yellow Cards per Team

El Paso Locomotive (home)

For—

Monterey Bay (away)

For—

Shots per Game

El Paso Locomotive — total shots (home)—
Monterey Bay — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

El Paso Locomotive — on target (home)—
Monterey Bay — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

El Paso Locomotive

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Monterey Bay

Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.

Average Possession

-% Possession -%

Team Comparison El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay

0% Pass accuracy 0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay prediction analysis

Review El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from USL Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance USL Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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