What markets are included in the Elche vs Girona prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Elche vs Girona prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Elche vs Girona

Elche vs Girona prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

La Liga 2025-12-07 13:00

Elche

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

43%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Girona

Away

Prediction Summary

58%

24%

17%

Under 2.5

57%

BTTS No

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Elche (Home)

Goals scored / match1.58

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate58%

Girona (Away)

Goals scored / match0.95

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate68%

Team Form last 5 matches

Elche

DWLDL

Girona

DLDDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 74%

47% +1.5 21%

16% +2.5 0%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

58% BTTS 68%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Elche averages 1.58 goals scored at home, while Girona averages 0.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

58%

Draw

24%

Away Win

17%

Over 2.5

43%

BTTS Yes

43%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Elche(A) 1 - 1 Girona Draw

Dec 2025 Elche 3 - 0 Girona Home

Jan 2024 Elche 0 - 2 Girona Away

Apr 2023 Elche(A) 0 - 2 Girona Away

Nov 2022 Elche 1 - 2 Girona Away

In the last 5 meetings, Elche won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Elche — unbeaten run (home)7

Elche — scoring streak (home)6

Girona — winless run (away)9

Girona — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Elche Win (1)58%

Draw (X)24%

Girona Win (2)17%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 74%

47% +1.5 21%

16% +2.5 0%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 26%

53% -1.5 79%

84% -2.5 100%

95% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Elche vs Girona — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Elche — scored (home)1.58

Elche — conceded (home)1

Girona — scored (away)0.95

Girona — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals2.42

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%

No57%

Rate per Team

Elche — BTTS matches (home)58%

Girona — BTTS matches (away)68%

Combined (simple average)63%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.582%

Under 4.518%

Over 5.579%

Under 5.521%

Over 6.574%

Under 6.526%

Over 7.571%

Under 7.529%

Over 8.555%

Under 8.545%

Over 9.540%

Under 9.560%

Over 10.532%

Under 10.568%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Elche (home)

Corners for4.8

Corners against3.6

Girona (away)

Corners for3.6

Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Elche

6 10 9 4 3

Girona

7 14 9 17 3

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Elche (home)

For1.9

Girona (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Elche — total shots (home)13.4

Girona — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Elche — on target (home)4.7

Girona — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Elche

Inside the box7.53

Outside the box3.26

Girona

Inside the box7.24

Outside the box3.95

Player Shots Elche

Rafa Mir

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target74%

+1.5 On Target37%

André Silva

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target26%

Á. Rodríguez

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target18%

L. Cepeda

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

Héctor Fort

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Girona

A. Ounahi

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target21%

V. Vanat

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target15%

V. Tsygankov

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target6%

C. Stuani

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target10%

Joel Roca

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Elche xG (home)1.11

Girona xG (away)1.27

Average Possession

57.71% Possession 50.63%

Team Comparison Elche vs Girona

84.63% Pass accuracy 85.03%

498.37 Passes per match 467.16

-0.05 Goals prevented 0.22

13.34 Fouls committed 10.74

3.13 Goalkeeper saves 3.35

1.64 Offsides 1.95

17.68 Tackles per match 15.42

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Elche vs Girona prediction analysis

Review Elche vs Girona with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights