What markets are included in the Elche vs Villarreal prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Elche vs Villarreal prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Elche vs Villarreal

Elche vs Villarreal prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2026-01-03 17:30

Elche

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

48%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Villarreal

Away

Prediction Summary

48%

26%

Under 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

51%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Elche (Home)

Goals scored / match1.58

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate58%

Villarreal (Away)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1.42

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Elche

DWLDL

Villarreal

WLLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 79%

47% +1.5 37%

16% +2.5 11%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

58% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

Elche averages 1.58 goals scored at home, while Villarreal averages 1.26 goals scored away.

Model Strength

52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

48%

Draw

26%

Away Win

26%

Over 2.5

48%

BTTS Yes

51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Elche(A) 1 - 2 Villarreal Away

Jan 2026 Elche 1 - 3 Villarreal Away

Feb 2023 Elche 3 - 1 Villarreal Home

Sep 2022 Elche(A) 0 - 4 Villarreal Away

Jan 2022 Elche 1 - 0 Villarreal Home

In the last 5 meetings, Elche won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Elche — unbeaten run (home)7

Elche — scoring streak (home)6

Villarreal — winless run (away)3

Villarreal — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Elche Win (1)48%

Draw (X)26%

Villarreal Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 79%

47% +1.5 37%

16% +2.5 11%

5% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 21%

53% -1.5 63%

84% -2.5 89%

95% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Elche vs Villarreal — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Elche — scored (home)1.58

Elche — conceded (home)1

Villarreal — scored (away)1.26

Villarreal — conceded (away)1.42

Model expected combined goals2.6

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%

No49%

Rate per Team

Elche — BTTS matches (home)58%

Villarreal — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.582%

Under 4.518%

Over 5.574%

Under 5.526%

Over 6.561%

Under 6.539%

Over 7.553%

Under 7.547%

Over 8.542%

Under 8.558%

Over 9.535%

Under 9.565%

Over 10.521%

Under 10.579%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Elche (home)

Corners for4.8

Corners against3.6

Villarreal (away)

Corners for3.0

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Elche

6 10 9 4 3

Villarreal

10 9 10 10 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Elche (home)

For1.9

Villarreal (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Elche — total shots (home)13.4

Villarreal — total shots (away)9.4

Shots on Target

Elche — on target (home)4.7

Villarreal — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Elche

Inside the box7.53

Outside the box3.26

Villarreal

Inside the box8.45

Outside the box3.53

Player Shots Elche

Rafa Mir

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target74%

+1.5 On Target37%

André Silva

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target26%

Á. Rodríguez

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target18%

L. Cepeda

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target0%

Héctor Fort

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Villarreal

Etta Eyong

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

G. Mikautadze

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target28%

Gerard Moreno

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target14%

N. Pépé

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target14%

Alberto Moleiro

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Elche xG (home)1.11

Villarreal xG (away)1.53

Average Possession

57.71% Possession 44.53%

Team Comparison Elche vs Villarreal

84.63% Pass accuracy 82.11%

498.37 Passes per match 409.03

-0.05 Goals prevented -0.29

13.34 Fouls committed 11.95

3.13 Goalkeeper saves 2.71

1.64 Offsides 2

17.68 Tackles per match 17.32

League average xG this season is 1.35 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Elche vs Villarreal prediction analysis

Review Elche vs Villarreal with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights