Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Emmen vs Roda

Emmen vs Roda prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eerste Divisie 2026-08-07 18:00
Emmen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
65%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Roda
Away

Prediction Summary

1
38%
X
23%
2
39%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Emmen (Home)

Goals scored / match1.89
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate63%

Roda (Away)

Goals scored / match1.7
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate75%

Team Form last 5 matches

Emmen
WDLWD
Roda
DDLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 85%
58% +1.5 60%
21% +2.5 25%
16% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 75%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is Medium.

Emmen averages 1.89 goals scored at home, while Roda averages 1.7 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
38%
Draw
23%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
65%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Emmen(A) 2 - 2 Roda Draw
Nov 2025 Emmen 1 - 1 Roda Draw
Apr 2025 Emmen(A) 0 - 1 Roda Away
Sep 2024 Emmen 1 - 3 Roda Away
Feb 2024 Emmen(A) 2 - 3 Roda Away

In the last 5 meetings, Emmen won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Emmen — unbeaten run (home)2
Emmen — scoring streak (home)4
Roda — winless run (away)2
Roda — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Emmen Win (1)38%
Draw (X)23%
Roda Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 85%
58% +1.5 60%
21% +2.5 25%
16% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 15%
42% -1.5 40%
79% -2.5 75%
84% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Emmen vs Roda — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Emmen — scored (home)1.89
Emmen — conceded (home)1.58
Roda — scored (away)1.7
Roda — conceded (away)1.35
Model expected combined goals3.26

Both Teams To Score

Yes65%
No35%

Rate per Team

Emmen — BTTS matches (home)63%
Roda — BTTS matches (away)75%
Combined (simple average)69%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.567%
Under 8.533%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.546%
Under 10.554%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Emmen (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against5.1

Roda (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Emmen
11 12 11 8 13
Roda
12 11 10 8 16

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.590%
Under 0.510%
Over 1.579%
Under 1.521%
Over 2.566%
Under 2.534%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Emmen (home)

For2.1

Roda (away)

For1.6

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.581%
Under 19.519%
Over 22.569%
Under 22.531%
Over 25.555%
Under 25.545%
Expected total shots27.46

Emmen

Shots Over 9.583%
Shots Over 11.570%
Shots Over 13.555%
Expected shots14.64
On Target Over 3.575%
On Target Over 4.559%
On Target Over 5.544%
Expected on target5.38

Roda

Shots Over 9.574%
Shots Over 11.557%
Shots Over 13.541%
Expected shots12.82
On Target Over 3.570%
On Target Over 4.554%
On Target Over 5.539%
Expected on target5.03

Shots per Game

Emmen — total shots (home)14.4
Roda — total shots (away)13.6

Shots on Target

Emmen — on target (home)5.3
Roda — on target (away)5.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Emmen

Inside the box8.63
Outside the box4.89

Roda

Inside the box9.63
Outside the box4.39

Player Shots Emmen

V. Besuijen
Shots on Target/Game2.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
F. Evina
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target16%
R. Postema
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target40%
F. Gerezgiher
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target16%
N. Amadin
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target33%

Player Shots Roda

F. Janssen
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. van den Hurk
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target34%
J. Cooper
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target18%
M. Breij
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Schwirten
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Emmen xG (home)1.51
Roda xG (away)2.02

Average Possession

51.87% Possession 52.16%

Team Comparison Emmen vs Roda

80% Pass accuracy 79.27%
404.13 Passes per match 444.26
0 Goals prevented 0
13.92 Fouls committed 10
3.95 Goalkeeper saves 3.45
1.92 Offsides 2.46
16.82 Tackles per match 14.66

League average xG this season is 1.67 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Emmen vs Roda prediction and preview

Preview Emmen vs Roda with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eerste Divisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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