Prediction Analysis: Emmen vs Roda
Emmen vs Roda prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Emmen
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
65%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1

Roda
Away
Prediction Summary
1
38%
X
23%
2
39%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
65%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Emmen (Home)
Goals scored / match1.89
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate63%
Roda (Away)
Goals scored / match1.7
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate75%
Team Form last 5 matches
Emmen
WDLWD
Roda
DDLDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
84%
+0.5
85%
58%
+1.5
60%
21%
+2.5
25%
16%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
63%
BTTS
75%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 65%. Model confidence is Medium.
Emmen averages 1.89 goals scored at home, while Roda averages 1.7 goals scored away.
Model Strength
65%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
38%
Draw
23%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
65%
Head-to-Head last 5
Apr 2026
Emmen(A)
2 - 2
Roda
Draw
Nov 2025
Emmen
1 - 1
Roda
Draw
Apr 2025
Emmen(A)
0 - 1
Roda
Away
Sep 2024
Emmen
1 - 3
Roda
Away
Feb 2024
Emmen(A)
2 - 3
Roda
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Emmen won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.
Current Streaks
Emmen — unbeaten run (home)2
Emmen — scoring streak (home)4
Roda — winless run (away)2
Roda — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Emmen Win (1)38%
Draw (X)23%
Roda Win (2)39%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
84%
+0.5
85%
58%
+1.5
60%
21%
+2.5
25%
16%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
16%
-0.5
15%
42%
-1.5
40%
79%
-2.5
75%
84%
-3.5
100%
95%
-4.5
100%
Emmen vs Roda — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Emmen — scored (home)1.89
Emmen — conceded (home)1.58
Roda — scored (away)1.7
Roda — conceded (away)1.35
Model expected combined goals3.26
Both Teams To Score
Yes65%
No35%
Rate per Team
Emmen — BTTS matches (home)63%
Roda — BTTS matches (away)75%
Combined (simple average)69%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.567%
Under 8.533%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.546%
Under 10.554%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
Emmen (home)
Corners for6.2
Corners against5.1
Roda (away)
Corners for4.6
Corners against4.9
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Emmen
11
12
11
8
13
Roda
12
11
10
8
16
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.590%
Under 0.510%
Over 1.579%
Under 1.521%
Over 2.566%
Under 2.534%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.1
Yellow Cards per Team
Emmen (home)
For2.1
Roda (away)
For1.6
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.581%
Under 19.519%
Over 22.569%
Under 22.531%
Over 25.555%
Under 25.545%
Expected total shots27.46
Emmen
Shots Over 9.583%
Shots Over 11.570%
Shots Over 13.555%
Expected shots14.64
On Target Over 3.575%
On Target Over 4.559%
On Target Over 5.544%
Expected on target5.38
Roda
Shots Over 9.574%
Shots Over 11.557%
Shots Over 13.541%
Expected shots12.82
On Target Over 3.570%
On Target Over 4.554%
On Target Over 5.539%
Expected on target5.03
Shots per Game
Emmen — total shots (home)14.4
Roda — total shots (away)13.6
Shots on Target
Emmen — on target (home)5.3
Roda — on target (away)5.1
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Emmen
Inside the box8.63
Outside the box4.89
Roda
Inside the box9.63
Outside the box4.39
Player Shots Emmen
V. Besuijen
Shots on Target/Game2.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
F. Evina
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target16%
R. Postema
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target40%
F. Gerezgiher
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target16%
N. Amadin
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target33%
Player Shots Roda
F. Janssen
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. van den Hurk
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target34%
J. Cooper
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target18%
M. Breij
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Schwirten
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Emmen xG (home)1.51
Roda xG (away)2.02
Average Possession
51.87%
Possession
52.16%
Team Comparison Emmen vs Roda
80%
Pass accuracy
79.27%
404.13
Passes per match
444.26
0
Goals prevented
0
13.92
Fouls committed
10
3.95
Goalkeeper saves
3.45
1.92
Offsides
2.46
16.82
Tackles per match
14.66
League average xG this season is 1.67 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Emmen vs Roda prediction and preview
Preview Emmen vs Roda with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Eerste Divisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights