What markets are included in the Empoli vs Cagliari prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Empoli vs Cagliari prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Empoli vs Cagliari

Empoli vs Cagliari prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Serie A 2025-04-06 13:00

Empoli

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

33%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

Cagliari

Away

Prediction Summary

28%

30%

41%

Under 2.5

67%

BTTS No

60%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Empoli (Home)

Goals scored / match0.53

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate37%

Cagliari (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Empoli

LWWLL

Cagliari

LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

42% +0.5 58%

11% +1.5 21%

0% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

37% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 33%. Model confidence is Medium.

Empoli averages 0.53 goals scored at home, while Cagliari averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength

67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

28%

Draw

30%

Away Win

41%

Over 2.5

33%

BTTS Yes

40%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2025 Empoli 0 - 0 Cagliari Draw

Sep 2024 Empoli(A) 2 - 0 Cagliari Home

Mar 2024 Empoli 0 - 1 Cagliari Away

Dec 2023 Empoli(A) 0 - 0 Cagliari Draw

Feb 2022 Empoli 1 - 1 Cagliari Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Empoli won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Empoli — unbeaten run (home)0

Empoli — scoring streak (home)2

Cagliari — winless run (away)2

Cagliari — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Empoli Win (1)28%

Draw (X)30%

Cagliari Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

42% +0.5 58%

11% +1.5 21%

0% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

58% -0.5 42%

89% -1.5 79%

100% -2.5 95%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Empoli vs Cagliari — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Empoli — scored (home)0.53

Empoli — conceded (home)1.37

Cagliari — scored (away)0.84

Cagliari — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals2.04

Both Teams To Score

Yes40%

No60%

Rate per Team

Empoli — BTTS matches (home)37%

Cagliari — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.579%

Under 5.521%

Over 6.569%

Under 6.531%

Over 7.563%

Under 7.537%

Over 8.558%

Under 8.542%

Over 9.548%

Under 9.552%

Over 10.535%

Under 10.565%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Empoli (home)

Corners for4.4

Corners against4.6

Cagliari (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Empoli

7 9 4 8 14

Cagliari

5 9 6 16 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.584%

Under 1.516%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Empoli (home)

For1.6

Cagliari (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Empoli — total shots (home)9.2

Cagliari — total shots (away)8.7

Shots on Target

Empoli — on target (home)2.8

Cagliari — on target (away)2.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Empoli

Inside the box5.53

Outside the box4.21

Cagliari

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box3.39

Player Shots Empoli

C. Kouamé

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

L. Colombo

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target11%

S. Esposito

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target15%

P. Pellegri

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target9%

L. Cacace

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target21%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Cagliari

R. Piccoli

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target19%

G. Gaetano

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target14%

+1.5 On Target7%

G. Lapadula

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target17%

+1.5 On Target8%

N. Viola

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target4%

G. Zappa

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target11%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Empoli xG (home)0.86

Cagliari xG (away)1.13

Average Possession

41.29% Possession 44.76%

Team Comparison Empoli vs Cagliari

73.97% Pass accuracy 78.68%

324.47 Passes per match 370.08

-0.1 Goals prevented -0.03

14.95 Fouls committed 13.16

2.78 Goalkeeper saves 2.61

1.63 Offsides 1.76

18.13 Tackles per match 14.18

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Empoli vs Cagliari prediction analysis

Review Empoli vs Cagliari with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights