Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Empoli vs Cremonese

Empoli vs Cremonese prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie B 2026-08-22 13:00
Empoli
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Cremonese
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
27%
2
34%
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Empoli (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.11
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate74%

Cremonese (Away)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Empoli
DWLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

89% +0.5 0%
26% +1.5 0%
16% +2.5 0%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
74% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.

Empoli averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Cremonese averages 0 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
27%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2023 Empoli(A) 0 - 1 Cremonese Away
Nov 2022 Empoli 2 - 0 Cremonese Home
Apr 2021 Empoli(A) 2 - 2 Cremonese Draw
Dec 2020 Empoli 1 - 0 Cremonese Home
Mar 2020 Empoli(A) 3 - 2 Cremonese Home

In the last 5 meetings, Empoli won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Empoli — unbeaten run (home)6
Empoli — scoring streak (home)7

1X2 Probability model

Empoli Win (1)39%
Draw (X)27%
Cremonese Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

89% +0.5 0%
26% +1.5 0%
16% +2.5 0%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

11% -0.5 100%
74% -1.5 100%
84% -2.5 100%
89% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Empoli vs Cremonese — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Empoli — scored (home)1.47
Empoli — conceded (home)1.11
Cremonese — scored (away)0
Cremonese — conceded (away)0
Model expected combined goals2.49

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

Empoli — BTTS matches (home)74%
Cremonese — BTTS matches (away)0%
Combined (simple average)37%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Empoli (home)

Corners for5.6
Corners against4.1

Cremonese (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Empoli
8 11 15 6 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.545%
Under 1.555%
Over 2.545%
Under 2.555%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Empoli (home)

For2.1

Cremonese (away)

For—

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.575%
Under 19.525%
Over 22.561%
Under 22.539%
Over 25.546%
Under 25.554%
Expected total shots25.45

Empoli

Shots Over 9.578%
Shots Over 11.563%
Shots Over 13.547%
Expected shots13.59
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.544%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.38

Cremonese

Shots Over 9.567%
Shots Over 11.549%
Shots Over 13.533%
Expected shots11.87
On Target Over 3.549%
On Target Over 4.532%
On Target Over 5.519%
Expected on target3.69

Shots per Game

Empoli — total shots (home)14.6
Cremonese — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Empoli — on target (home)4.9
Cremonese — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Empoli

Inside the box8.32
Outside the box3.95

Cremonese

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Empoli

N. Obaretin
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target7%
S. Shpendi
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target34%
P. Pellegri
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target17%
M. Nasti
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target8%
Gerard Yepes
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Cremonese

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Empoli xG (home)1.46
Cremonese xG (away)-

Average Possession

47.71% Possession -%

Team Comparison Empoli vs Cremonese

77.63% Pass accuracy 0%
360 Passes per match -
0.08 Goals prevented -
15.82 Fouls committed -
2.84 Goalkeeper saves -
1.43 Offsides -
14.53 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.36 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Empoli vs Cremonese prediction analysis

Review Empoli vs Cremonese with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie B.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie B
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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