What markets are included in the Empoli vs Lazio prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Empoli vs Lazio prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Empoli vs Lazio

Empoli vs Lazio prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-05-04 10:30

Empoli

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

39%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

Lazio

Away

Prediction Summary

22%

27%

51%

Under 2.5

61%

BTTS No

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Empoli (Home)

Goals scored / match0.53

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate37%

Lazio (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match1.21

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Empoli

LWWLL

Lazio

LDDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

42% +0.5 79%

11% +1.5 42%

0% +2.5 16%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

37% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

Empoli averages 0.53 goals scored at home, while Lazio averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength

61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

22%

Draw

27%

Away Win

51%

Over 2.5

39%

BTTS Yes

43%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2025 Empoli 0 - 1 Lazio Away

Oct 2024 Empoli(A) 1 - 2 Lazio Away

May 2024 Empoli(A) 0 - 2 Lazio Away

Dec 2023 Empoli 0 - 2 Lazio Away

Jun 2023 Empoli 0 - 2 Lazio Away

In the last 5 meetings, Empoli won 0, drew 0 and lost 5.

Current Streaks

Empoli — unbeaten run (home)0

Empoli — scoring streak (home)2

Lazio — winless run (away)1

Lazio — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Empoli Win (1)22%

Draw (X)27%

Lazio Win (2)51%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

42% +0.5 79%

11% +1.5 42%

0% +2.5 16%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

58% -0.5 21%

89% -1.5 58%

100% -2.5 84%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 95%

Empoli vs Lazio — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Empoli — scored (home)0.53

Empoli — conceded (home)1.37

Lazio — scored (away)1.47

Lazio — conceded (away)1.21

Model expected combined goals2.26

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%

No57%

Rate per Team

Empoli — BTTS matches (home)37%

Lazio — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)42%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%

Under 4.55%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.576%

Under 7.524%

Over 8.561%

Under 8.539%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.545%

Under 10.555%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Empoli (home)

Corners for4.4

Corners against4.6

Lazio (away)

Corners for5.7

Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Empoli

7 9 4 8 14

Lazio

6 9 6 6 18

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Empoli (home)

For1.6

Lazio (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Empoli — total shots (home)9.2

Lazio — total shots (away)12.9

Shots on Target

Empoli — on target (home)2.8

Lazio — on target (away)5.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Empoli

Inside the box5.53

Outside the box4.21

Lazio

Inside the box9.05

Outside the box5.05

Player Shots Empoli

C. Kouamé

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

L. Colombo

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target11%

S. Esposito

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target15%

P. Pellegri

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target9%

L. Cacace

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target21%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Lazio

V. Castellanos

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target76%

+1.5 On Target41%

Pedro

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target13%

G. Isaksen

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target49%

+1.5 On Target16%

Mario Gila

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target3%

A. Marušić

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target23%

+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Empoli xG (home)0.86

Lazio xG (away)1.51

Average Possession

41.29% Possession 55.11%

Team Comparison Empoli vs Lazio

73.97% Pass accuracy 86.16%

324.47 Passes per match 468.58

-0.1 Goals prevented 0.08

14.95 Fouls committed 11.16

2.78 Goalkeeper saves 1.92

1.63 Offsides 1.21

18.13 Tackles per match 13.68

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Empoli vs Lazio prediction analysis

Review Empoli vs Lazio with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights