What markets are included in the Empoli vs Monza prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Empoli vs Monza prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Empoli vs Monza

Empoli vs Monza prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2024-08-17 18:45

Empoli

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

42%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Monza

Away

Prediction Summary

41%

28%

32%

Under 2.5

58%

BTTS No

53%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Empoli (Home)

Goals scored / match0.53

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate37%

Monza (Away)

Goals scored / match0.79

Goals conceded / match2

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Empoli

LWWLL

Monza

LLWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

42% +0.5 53%

11% +1.5 21%

0% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

37% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Empoli averages 0.53 goals scored at home, while Monza averages 0.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

41%

Draw

28%

Away Win

32%

Over 2.5

42%

BTTS Yes

47%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Empoli(A) 2 - 2 Monza Draw

Oct 2025 Empoli 1 - 1 Monza Draw

May 2025 Empoli(A) 3 - 1 Monza Home

Aug 2024 Empoli 0 - 0 Monza Draw

Jan 2024 Empoli 3 - 0 Monza Home

In the last 5 meetings, Empoli won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Empoli — unbeaten run (home)0

Empoli — scoring streak (home)2

Monza — winless run (away)1

Monza — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Empoli Win (1)41%

Draw (X)28%

Monza Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

42% +0.5 53%

11% +1.5 21%

0% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

58% -0.5 47%

89% -1.5 79%

100% -2.5 95%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Empoli vs Monza — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Empoli — scored (home)0.53

Empoli — conceded (home)1.37

Monza — scored (away)0.79

Monza — conceded (away)2

Model expected combined goals2.34

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%

No53%

Rate per Team

Empoli — BTTS matches (home)37%

Monza — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)42%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%

Under 4.58%

Over 5.584%

Under 5.516%

Over 6.577%

Under 6.523%

Over 7.563%

Under 7.537%

Over 8.561%

Under 8.539%

Over 9.545%

Under 9.555%

Over 10.527%

Under 10.573%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Empoli (home)

Corners for4.4

Corners against4.6

Monza (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Empoli

7 9 4 8 14

Monza

5 10 7 8 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.579%

Under 1.521%

Over 2.571%

Under 2.529%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Empoli (home)

For1.6

Monza (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Empoli — total shots (home)9.2

Monza — total shots (away)7.2

Shots on Target

Empoli — on target (home)2.8

Monza — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Empoli

Inside the box5.53

Outside the box4.21

Monza

Inside the box5.37

Outside the box3.47

Player Shots Empoli

C. Kouamé

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

L. Colombo

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target11%

S. Esposito

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target15%

P. Pellegri

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target9%

L. Cacace

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target21%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Monza

S. Birindelli

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target14%

Dany Mota

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target6%

M. Đurić

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target11%

D. Maldini

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target10%

G. Kiriakopoulos

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target24%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Empoli xG (home)0.86

Monza xG (away)0.81

Average Possession

41.29% Possession 48.53%

Team Comparison Empoli vs Monza

73.97% Pass accuracy 82.97%

324.47 Passes per match 421.76

-0.1 Goals prevented -0.14

14.95 Fouls committed 13.47

2.78 Goalkeeper saves 3.19

1.63 Offsides 1.64

18.13 Tackles per match 14.74

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Empoli vs Monza prediction analysis

Review Empoli vs Monza with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights