Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Energie Cottbus vs MSV Duisburg

Energie Cottbus vs MSV Duisburg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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3. Liga 2025-12-06 13:00
Energie Cottbus
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
69%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
MSV Duisburg
Away

Prediction Summary

1
45%
X
22%
2
33%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS Yes
69%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Energie Cottbus (Home)

Goals scored / match2.26
Goals conceded / match1.32
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate74%

MSV Duisburg (Away)

Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Energie Cottbus
WWLWW
MSV Duisburg
DDWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 63%
68% +1.5 32%
47% +2.5 26%
16% +3.5 16%
11% +4.5 0%
74% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 69%. Model confidence is Medium.

Energie Cottbus averages 2.26 goals scored at home, while MSV Duisburg averages 1.37 goals scored away.

Model Strength
69%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
45%
Draw
22%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS Yes
69%

Head-to-Head last 2

May 2026 Energie Cottbus(A) 1 - 2 MSV Duisburg Away
Dec 2025 Energie Cottbus 3 - 2 MSV Duisburg Home

In the last 2 meetings, Energie Cottbus won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Energie Cottbus — unbeaten run (home)12
Energie Cottbus — scoring streak (home)4
MSV Duisburg — winless run (away)2
MSV Duisburg — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Energie Cottbus Win (1)45%
Draw (X)22%
MSV Duisburg Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 63%
68% +1.5 32%
47% +2.5 26%
16% +3.5 16%
11% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 37%
32% -1.5 68%
53% -2.5 74%
84% -3.5 84%
89% -4.5 100%

Energie Cottbus vs MSV Duisburg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Energie Cottbus — scored (home)2.26
Energie Cottbus — conceded (home)1.32
MSV Duisburg — scored (away)1.37
MSV Duisburg — conceded (away)1.58
Model expected combined goals3.56

Both Teams To Score

Yes69%
No31%

Rate per Team

Energie Cottbus — BTTS matches (home)74%
MSV Duisburg — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.584%
Under 4.516%
Over 5.577%
Under 5.523%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.560%
Under 7.540%
Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Energie Cottbus (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against4.8

MSV Duisburg (away)

Corners for5.3
Corners against3.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Energie Cottbus
0 9 7 0 0
MSV Duisburg
10 5 7 8 0

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Energie Cottbus (home)

For1.7

MSV Duisburg (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Energie Cottbus — total shots (home)13.5
MSV Duisburg — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

Energie Cottbus — on target (home)4.9
MSV Duisburg — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Energie Cottbus

Inside the box8.52
Outside the box5.16

MSV Duisburg

Inside the box7.88
Outside the box3.56

Player Shots Energie Cottbus

E. Engelhardt
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target30%
T. Ciğerci
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target30%
M. Biankadi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target7%
J. Butler
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target13%
H. Rorig
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%

Player Shots MSV Duisburg

P. Sussek
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target24%
L. Lobinger
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target29%
T. Töpken
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target21%
C. Noß
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target4%
D. Kother
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Energie Cottbus xG (home)1.92
MSV Duisburg xG (away)1.52

Average Possession

52.44% Possession 46.92%

Team Comparison Energie Cottbus vs MSV Duisburg

81.64% Pass accuracy 78.36%
415.88 Passes per match 379.32
0 Goals prevented 0
12.2 Fouls committed 13.56
3.04 Goalkeeper saves 3.04
1.6 Offsides 1.6
2.13 Tackles per match 3.22

League average xG this season is 1.6 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Energie Cottbus vs MSV Duisburg prediction analysis

Review Energie Cottbus vs MSV Duisburg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 3. Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 3. Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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