Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Envigado vs Águilas Doradas

Envigado vs Águilas Doradas prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-05-10 20:00
Envigado
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
34%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Águilas Doradas
Away

Prediction Summary

1
30%
X
30%
2
40%
Under 2.5
66%
BTTS No
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Envigado (Home)

Goals scored / match0.75
Goals conceded / match1.4
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate60%

Águilas Doradas (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.1
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Envigado
WDLLL
Águilas Doradas
LLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 60%
10% +1.5 25%
5% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
60% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 34%. Model confidence is Medium.

Envigado averages 0.75 goals scored at home, while Águilas Doradas averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
30%
Draw
30%
Away Win
40%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS Yes
41%

Head-to-Head last 4

Oct 2025 Envigado(A) 0 - 1 Águilas Doradas Away
Sep 2025 Envigado 1 - 1 Águilas Doradas Draw
May 2025 Envigado 0 - 2 Águilas Doradas Away
Mar 2025 Envigado(A) 0 - 1 Águilas Doradas Away

In the last 4 meetings, Envigado won 0, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Envigado — unbeaten run (home)1
Envigado — scoring streak (home)1
Águilas Doradas — winless run (away)1
Águilas Doradas — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Envigado Win (1)30%
Draw (X)30%
Águilas Doradas Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 60%
10% +1.5 25%
5% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 40%
90% -1.5 75%
95% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

Envigado vs Águilas Doradas — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Envigado — scored (home)0.75
Envigado — conceded (home)1.4
Águilas Doradas — scored (away)1
Águilas Doradas — conceded (away)1.1
Model expected combined goals2.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes41%
No59%

Rate per Team

Envigado — BTTS matches (home)60%
Águilas Doradas — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.578%
Under 7.522%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Envigado (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.2

Águilas Doradas (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Envigado
3 4 12 6 8
Águilas Doradas
16 7 12 9 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.598%
Under 2.52%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Envigado (home)

For4.3

Águilas Doradas (away)

For3.0

Shots per Game

Envigado — total shots (home)10.6
Águilas Doradas — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

Envigado — on target (home)3.1
Águilas Doradas — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Envigado

Inside the box5.23
Outside the box5.13

Águilas Doradas

Inside the box6.5
Outside the box5.55

Player Shots Envigado

D. Pabón
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target50%
D. Arcila
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target19%
E. López
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target8%
B. Garcés
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target8%
W. Hurtado
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Águilas Doradas

Y. González
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target22%
F. Salazar
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Rivaldo
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target9%
D. Lemos
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
W. Morelo
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Envigado xG (home)1.15
Águilas Doradas xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

43.18% Possession 47.55%

Team Comparison Envigado vs Águilas Doradas

74.7% Pass accuracy 77.18%
285.13 Passes per match 329.4
0 Goals prevented 0
14.18 Fouls committed 11.88
2.9 Goalkeeper saves 2.8
1.74 Offsides 1.56
11.08 Tackles per match 12.18

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Envigado vs Águilas Doradas prediction analysis

Review Envigado vs Águilas Doradas with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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