What markets are included in the Envigado vs Alianza Valledupar prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Envigado vs Alianza Valledupar prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Envigado vs Alianza Valledupar

Envigado vs Alianza Valledupar prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-09-20 19:00

Envigado

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

43%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Alianza Valledupar

Away

Prediction Summary

37%

28%

36%

Under 2.5

57%

BTTS No

51%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Envigado (Home)

Goals scored / match0.75

Goals conceded / match1.4

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate60%

Alianza Valledupar (Away)

Goals scored / match0.9

Goals conceded / match1.45

Over 2.5 rate10%

BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Envigado

WDLLL

Alianza Valledupar

LWWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 55%

10% +1.5 25%

5% +2.5 10%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

60% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Envigado averages 0.75 goals scored at home, while Alianza Valledupar averages 0.9 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

37%

Draw

28%

Away Win

36%

Over 2.5

43%

BTTS Yes

49%

Head-to-Head last 2

Sep 2025 Envigado 0 - 0 Alianza Valledupar Draw

Apr 2025 Envigado(A) 2 - 1 Alianza Valledupar Home

In the last 2 meetings, Envigado won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Envigado — unbeaten run (home)1

Envigado — scoring streak (home)1

Alianza Valledupar — winless run (away)1

Alianza Valledupar — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Envigado Win (1)37%

Draw (X)28%

Alianza Valledupar Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 55%

10% +1.5 25%

5% +2.5 10%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 45%

90% -1.5 75%

95% -2.5 90%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Envigado vs Alianza Valledupar — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Envigado — scored (home)0.75

Envigado — conceded (home)1.4

Alianza Valledupar — scored (away)0.9

Alianza Valledupar — conceded (away)1.45

Model expected combined goals2.39

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%

No51%

Rate per Team

Envigado — BTTS matches (home)60%

Alianza Valledupar — BTTS matches (away)40%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%

Under 4.510%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.578%

Under 6.522%

Over 7.565%

Under 7.535%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.540%

Under 9.560%

Over 10.533%

Under 10.567%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Envigado (home)

Corners for4.3

Corners against5.2

Alianza Valledupar (away)

Corners for3.3

Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Envigado

3 4 12 6 8

Alianza Valledupar

16 11 9 10 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.590%

Under 2.510%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Envigado (home)

For4.3

Alianza Valledupar (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Envigado — total shots (home)10.6

Alianza Valledupar — total shots (away)9.9

Shots on Target

Envigado — on target (home)3.1

Alianza Valledupar — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Envigado

Inside the box5.23

Outside the box5.13

Alianza Valledupar

Inside the box6.4

Outside the box5.8

Player Shots Envigado

D. Pabón

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target50%

D. Arcila

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target19%

E. López

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target8%

B. Garcés

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target8%

W. Hurtado

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Alianza Valledupar

C. Lucumi

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target53%

F. Pardo

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target15%

E. Torres

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target3%

J. Muñoz

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target6%

M. Martinez

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Envigado xG (home)1.15

Alianza Valledupar xG (away)1.2

Average Possession

43.18% Possession 49.88%

Team Comparison Envigado vs Alianza Valledupar

74.7% Pass accuracy 78.53%

285.13 Passes per match 349.75

0 Goals prevented 0

14.18 Fouls committed 12

2.9 Goalkeeper saves 2.55

1.74 Offsides 1.97

11.08 Tackles per match 12.03

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Envigado vs Alianza Valledupar prediction analysis

Review Envigado vs Alianza Valledupar with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights