What markets are included in the Envigado vs Bucaramanga prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Envigado vs Bucaramanga prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Envigado vs Bucaramanga

Envigado vs Bucaramanga prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Primera A 2025-10-04 19:00

Envigado

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

38%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

Bucaramanga

Away

Prediction Summary

27%

29%

45%

Under 2.5

62%

BTTS No

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Envigado (Home)

Goals scored / match0.75

Goals conceded / match1.4

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate60%

Bucaramanga (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match1.09

Over 2.5 rate9%

BTTS rate55%

Team Form last 5 matches

Envigado

WDLLL

Bucaramanga

DDWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 68%

10% +1.5 23%

5% +2.5 9%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

60% BTTS 55%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Envigado averages 0.75 goals scored at home, while Bucaramanga averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

27%

Draw

29%

Away Win

45%

Over 2.5

38%

BTTS Yes

43%

Head-to-Head last 2

Oct 2025 Envigado 1 - 2 Bucaramanga Away

Apr 2025 Envigado(A) 0 - 1 Bucaramanga Away

In the last 2 meetings, Envigado won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Envigado — unbeaten run (home)1

Envigado — scoring streak (home)1

Bucaramanga — winless run (away)1

Bucaramanga — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Envigado Win (1)27%

Draw (X)29%

Bucaramanga Win (2)45%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 68%

10% +1.5 23%

5% +2.5 9%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 32%

90% -1.5 77%

95% -2.5 91%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Envigado vs Bucaramanga — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Envigado — scored (home)0.75

Envigado — conceded (home)1.4

Bucaramanga — scored (away)1.05

Bucaramanga — conceded (away)1.09

Model expected combined goals2.19

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%

No57%

Rate per Team

Envigado — BTTS matches (home)60%

Bucaramanga — BTTS matches (away)55%

Combined (simple average)57.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%

Under 4.59%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.583%

Under 6.517%

Over 7.571%

Under 7.529%

Over 8.554%

Under 8.546%

Over 9.544%

Under 9.556%

Over 10.534%

Under 10.566%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Envigado (home)

Corners for4.3

Corners against5.2

Bucaramanga (away)

Corners for4.8

Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Envigado

3 4 12 6 8

Bucaramanga

8 11 11 8 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.593%

Under 1.57%

Over 2.591%

Under 2.59%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Envigado (home)

For4.3

Bucaramanga (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Envigado — total shots (home)10.6

Bucaramanga — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

Envigado — on target (home)3.1

Bucaramanga — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Envigado

Inside the box5.23

Outside the box5.13

Bucaramanga

Inside the box7.09

Outside the box5.84

Player Shots Envigado

D. Pabón

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target50%

D. Arcila

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target19%

E. López

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target8%

B. Garcés

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target8%

W. Hurtado

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Bucaramanga

L. Pons

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target76%

+1.5 On Target32%

F. Sambueza

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target16%

F. Castañeda

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

F. Gil

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target5%

A. Andrade

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Envigado xG (home)1.15

Bucaramanga xG (away)1.14

Average Possession

43.18% Possession 53.98%

Team Comparison Envigado vs Bucaramanga

74.7% Pass accuracy 80.57%

285.13 Passes per match 388.5

0 Goals prevented 0

14.18 Fouls committed 11.86

2.9 Goalkeeper saves 2.2

1.74 Offsides 1.72

11.08 Tackles per match 13.23

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Envigado vs Bucaramanga prediction analysis

Review Envigado vs Bucaramanga with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights