What markets are included in the Envigado vs Deportes Tolima prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Envigado vs Deportes Tolima prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Envigado vs Deportes Tolima

Envigado vs Deportes Tolima prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-04-20 19:00

Envigado

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

46%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-1

Deportes Tolima

Away

Prediction Summary

19%

24%

56%

Under 2.5

54%

BTTS No

53%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Envigado (Home)

Goals scored / match0.75

Goals conceded / match1.4

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate60%

Deportes Tolima (Away)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1.04

Over 2.5 rate15%

BTTS rate44%

Team Form last 5 matches

Envigado

WDLLL

Deportes Tolima

LLWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 74%

10% +1.5 33%

5% +2.5 15%

0% +3.5 4%

0% +4.5 0%

60% BTTS 44%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Medium.

Envigado averages 0.75 goals scored at home, while Deportes Tolima averages 1.26 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

19%

Draw

24%

Away Win

56%

Over 2.5

46%

BTTS Yes

47%

Head-to-Head last 2

Oct 2025 Envigado(A) 2 - 1 Deportes Tolima Home

Apr 2025 Envigado 3 - 1 Deportes Tolima Home

In the last 2 meetings, Envigado won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Envigado — unbeaten run (home)1

Envigado — scoring streak (home)1

Deportes Tolima — winless run (away)2

Deportes Tolima — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Envigado Win (1)19%

Draw (X)24%

Deportes Tolima Win (2)56%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 74%

10% +1.5 33%

5% +2.5 15%

0% +3.5 4%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 26%

90% -1.5 67%

95% -2.5 85%

100% -3.5 96%

100% -4.5 100%

Envigado vs Deportes Tolima — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Envigado — scored (home)0.75

Envigado — conceded (home)1.4

Deportes Tolima — scored (away)1.26

Deportes Tolima — conceded (away)1.04

Model expected combined goals2.53

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%

No53%

Rate per Team

Envigado — BTTS matches (home)60%

Deportes Tolima — BTTS matches (away)44%

Combined (simple average)52%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.585%

Under 6.515%

Over 7.575%

Under 7.525%

Over 8.554%

Under 8.546%

Over 9.539%

Under 9.561%

Over 10.531%

Under 10.569%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Envigado (home)

Corners for4.3

Corners against5.2

Deportes Tolima (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Envigado

3 4 12 6 8

Deportes Tolima

8 8 8 9 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.587%

Under 1.513%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Envigado (home)

For4.3

Deportes Tolima (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Envigado — total shots (home)10.6

Deportes Tolima — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

Envigado — on target (home)3.1

Deportes Tolima — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Envigado

Inside the box5.23

Outside the box5.13

Deportes Tolima

Inside the box7.02

Outside the box5.72

Player Shots Envigado

D. Pabón

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target50%

D. Arcila

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target19%

E. López

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target8%

B. Garcés

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target8%

W. Hurtado

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Deportes Tolima

G. Lencina

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target29%

G. Ramírez

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target30%

+1.5 On Target20%

M. Gonzalez

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target12%

J. P. Torres Patino

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target8%

A. Parra

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Envigado xG (home)1.15

Deportes Tolima xG (away)1.26

Average Possession

43.18% Possession 53.69%

Team Comparison Envigado vs Deportes Tolima

74.7% Pass accuracy 81.54%

285.13 Passes per match 409.22

0 Goals prevented 0

14.18 Fouls committed 10.46

2.9 Goalkeeper saves 2.5

1.74 Offsides 1.42

11.08 Tackles per match 11.89

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Envigado vs Deportes Tolima prediction analysis

Review Envigado vs Deportes Tolima with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights