Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Envigado vs Deportivo Cali

Envigado vs Deportivo Cali prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-07-20 20:00
Envigado
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
33%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Deportivo Cali
Away

Prediction Summary

1
32%
X
31%
2
37%
Under 2.5
67%
BTTS No
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Envigado (Home)

Goals scored / match0.75
Goals conceded / match1.4
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate60%

Deportivo Cali (Away)

Goals scored / match0.85
Goals conceded / match1.2
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Envigado
WDLLL
Deportivo Cali
DLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 45%
10% +1.5 20%
5% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 33%. Model confidence is Medium.

Envigado averages 0.75 goals scored at home, while Deportivo Cali averages 0.85 goals scored away.

Model Strength
67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
32%
Draw
31%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS Yes
40%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jul 2025 Envigado 0 - 0 Deportivo Cali Draw
Feb 2025 Envigado(A) 0 - 1 Deportivo Cali Away

In the last 2 meetings, Envigado won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Envigado — unbeaten run (home)1
Envigado — scoring streak (home)1
Deportivo Cali — winless run (away)4
Deportivo Cali — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Envigado Win (1)32%
Draw (X)31%
Deportivo Cali Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 45%
10% +1.5 20%
5% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 55%
90% -1.5 80%
95% -2.5 85%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Envigado vs Deportivo Cali — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Envigado — scored (home)0.75
Envigado — conceded (home)1.4
Deportivo Cali — scored (away)0.85
Deportivo Cali — conceded (away)1.2
Model expected combined goals2.02

Both Teams To Score

Yes40%
No60%

Rate per Team

Envigado — BTTS matches (home)60%
Deportivo Cali — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.570%
Under 7.530%
Over 8.555%
Under 8.545%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Envigado (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.2

Deportivo Cali (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Envigado
3 4 12 6 8
Deportivo Cali
5 8 9 16 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.595%
Under 2.55%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Envigado (home)

For4.3

Deportivo Cali (away)

For3.0

Shots per Game

Envigado — total shots (home)10.6
Deportivo Cali — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Envigado — on target (home)3.1
Deportivo Cali — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Envigado

Inside the box5.23
Outside the box5.13

Deportivo Cali

Inside the box6.69
Outside the box4.79

Player Shots Envigado

D. Pabón
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target50%
D. Arcila
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target19%
E. López
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target8%
B. Garcés
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target8%
W. Hurtado
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Deportivo Cali

J. Martinez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target36%
E. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Estupinan
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Hurtado
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
J. Barrera
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Envigado xG (home)1.15
Deportivo Cali xG (away)1.11

Average Possession

43.18% Possession 51.1%

Team Comparison Envigado vs Deportivo Cali

74.7% Pass accuracy 78%
285.13 Passes per match 351.97
0 Goals prevented 0
14.18 Fouls committed 13.64
2.9 Goalkeeper saves 2.56
1.74 Offsides 1.97
11.08 Tackles per match 14.03

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Envigado vs Deportivo Cali prediction analysis

Review Envigado vs Deportivo Cali with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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