What markets are included in the Envigado vs Fortaleza FC prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Envigado vs Fortaleza FC prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Envigado vs Fortaleza FC

Envigado vs Fortaleza FC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-07-12 21:10

Envigado

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

42%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Fortaleza FC

Away

Prediction Summary

37%

28%

35%

Under 2.5

58%

BTTS No

52%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Envigado (Home)

Goals scored / match0.75

Goals conceded / match1.4

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate60%

Fortaleza FC (Away)

Goals scored / match0.78

Goals conceded / match1.48

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate43%

Team Form last 5 matches

Envigado

WDLLL

Fortaleza FC

LLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 57%

10% +1.5 22%

5% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

60% BTTS 43%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Envigado averages 0.75 goals scored at home, while Fortaleza FC averages 0.78 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

37%

Draw

28%

Away Win

35%

Over 2.5

42%

BTTS Yes

48%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jul 2025 Envigado 0 - 1 Fortaleza FC Away

Jan 2025 Envigado(A) 0 - 0 Fortaleza FC Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Envigado won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Envigado — unbeaten run (home)1

Envigado — scoring streak (home)1

Fortaleza FC — winless run (away)1

Fortaleza FC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Envigado Win (1)37%

Draw (X)28%

Fortaleza FC Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 57%

10% +1.5 22%

5% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 43%

90% -1.5 78%

95% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Envigado vs Fortaleza FC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Envigado — scored (home)0.75

Envigado — conceded (home)1.4

Fortaleza FC — scored (away)0.78

Fortaleza FC — conceded (away)1.48

Model expected combined goals2.35

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%

No52%

Rate per Team

Envigado — BTTS matches (home)60%

Fortaleza FC — BTTS matches (away)43%

Combined (simple average)51.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%

Under 4.59%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.573%

Under 6.527%

Over 7.566%

Under 7.534%

Over 8.545%

Under 8.555%

Over 9.535%

Under 9.565%

Over 10.531%

Under 10.569%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Envigado (home)

Corners for4.3

Corners against5.2

Fortaleza FC (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Envigado

3 4 12 6 8

Fortaleza FC

6 11 11 12 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.596%

Under 1.54%

Over 2.589%

Under 2.511%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Envigado (home)

For4.3

Fortaleza FC (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Envigado — total shots (home)10.6

Fortaleza FC — total shots (away)12.2

Shots on Target

Envigado — on target (home)3.1

Fortaleza FC — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Envigado

Inside the box5.23

Outside the box5.13

Fortaleza FC

Inside the box5.83

Outside the box6.5

Player Shots Envigado

D. Pabón

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target50%

D. Arcila

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target19%

E. López

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target8%

B. Garcés

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target8%

W. Hurtado

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Fortaleza FC

K. Salazar

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target18%

S. Valencia

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target9%

C. Lucumi

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

L. Sanchez

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Envigado xG (home)1.15

Fortaleza FC xG (away)1.3

Average Possession

43.18% Possession 52.2%

Team Comparison Envigado vs Fortaleza FC

74.7% Pass accuracy 80.26%

285.13 Passes per match 381.35

0 Goals prevented 0

14.18 Fouls committed 10.85

2.9 Goalkeeper saves 2.57

1.74 Offsides 1.89

11.08 Tackles per match 11.02

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Envigado vs Fortaleza FC prediction analysis

Review Envigado vs Fortaleza FC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights