Prediction Analysis: Envigado vs Internacional de Bogota
Envigado vs Internacional de Bogota prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera A
2025-07-27
21:00
Envigado
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Internacional de Bogota
Away
Prediction Summary
1
46%
X
26%
2
27%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Envigado (Home)
Goals scored / match0.75
Goals conceded / match1.4
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate60%
Internacional de Bogota (Away)
Goals scored / match0.6
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate55%
Team Form last 5 matches
Envigado
WDLLL
Internacional de Bogota
WLLLL
Goals Comparison rate per team
60%
+0.5
55%
10%
+1.5
5%
5%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
60%
BTTS
55%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.
Envigado averages 0.75 goals scored at home, while Internacional de Bogota averages 0.6 goals scored away.
Model Strength
54%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
46%
Draw
26%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
Head-to-Head last 2
Jul 2025
Envigado
1 - 1
Internacional de Bogota
Draw
Feb 2025
Envigado(A)
3 - 2
Internacional de Bogota
Home
In the last 2 meetings, Envigado won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Envigado — unbeaten run (home)1
Envigado — scoring streak (home)1
Internacional de Bogota — winless run (away)20
Internacional de Bogota — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Envigado Win (1)46%
Draw (X)26%
Internacional de Bogota Win (2)27%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
60%
+0.5
55%
10%
+1.5
5%
5%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
40%
-0.5
45%
90%
-1.5
95%
95%
-2.5
100%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Envigado vs Internacional de Bogota — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Envigado — scored (home)0.75
Envigado — conceded (home)1.4
Internacional de Bogota — scored (away)0.6
Internacional de Bogota — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.53
Both Teams To Score
Yes50%
No50%
Rate per Team
Envigado — BTTS matches (home)60%
Internacional de Bogota — BTTS matches (away)55%
Combined (simple average)57.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.575%
Under 6.525%
Over 7.565%
Under 7.535%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Envigado (home)
Corners for4.3
Corners against5.2
Internacional de Bogota (away)
Corners for3.6
Corners against5.2
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Envigado
3
4
12
6
8
Internacional de Bogota
6
11
4
7
4
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.3
Yellow Cards per Team
Envigado (home)
For4.3
Internacional de Bogota (away)
For2.8
Shots per Game
Envigado — total shots (home)10.6
Internacional de Bogota — total shots (away)10.1
Shots on Target
Envigado — on target (home)3.1
Internacional de Bogota — on target (away)3.0
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Envigado
Inside the box5.23
Outside the box5.13
Internacional de Bogota
Inside the box5.6
Outside the box5.23
Player Shots Envigado
D. Pabón
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target50%
D. Arcila
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target19%
E. López
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target8%
B. Garcés
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target8%
W. Hurtado
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target5%
Player Shots Internacional de Bogota
J. Valencia
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
Beckham Castro
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Parra Atehortua
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target18%
Renan Oliveira
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Micolta
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target22%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Envigado xG (home)1.15
Internacional de Bogota xG (away)0.72
Average Possession
43.18%
Possession
43.5%
Team Comparison Envigado vs Internacional de Bogota
74.7%
Pass accuracy
76.4%
285.13
Passes per match
317
0
Goals prevented
0
14.18
Fouls committed
11.58
2.9
Goalkeeper saves
2.7
1.74
Offsides
1.38
11.08
Tackles per match
12.05
League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Envigado vs Internacional de Bogota prediction analysis
Review Envigado vs Internacional de Bogota with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights