Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Envigado vs Llaneros

Envigado vs Llaneros prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-05-24 19:00
Envigado
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Llaneros
Away

Prediction Summary

1
37%
X
26%
2
37%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Envigado (Home)

Goals scored / match0.75
Goals conceded / match1.4
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate60%

Llaneros (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.6
Over 2.5 rate15%
BTTS rate45%

Team Form last 5 matches

Envigado
WDLLL
Llaneros
LLLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 55%
10% +1.5 30%
5% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 45%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Envigado averages 0.75 goals scored at home, while Llaneros averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
37%
Draw
26%
Away Win
37%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 2

Nov 2025 Envigado(A) 3 - 0 Llaneros Home
May 2025 Envigado 1 - 2 Llaneros Away

In the last 2 meetings, Envigado won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Envigado — unbeaten run (home)1
Envigado — scoring streak (home)1
Llaneros — winless run (away)2
Llaneros — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Envigado Win (1)37%
Draw (X)26%
Llaneros Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 55%
10% +1.5 30%
5% +2.5 15%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 45%
90% -1.5 70%
95% -2.5 85%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Envigado vs Llaneros — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Envigado — scored (home)0.75
Envigado — conceded (home)1.4
Llaneros — scored (away)1
Llaneros — conceded (away)1.6
Model expected combined goals2.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Envigado — BTTS matches (home)60%
Llaneros — BTTS matches (away)45%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.585%
Under 6.515%
Over 7.575%
Under 7.525%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Envigado (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.2

Llaneros (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against6.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Envigado
3 4 12 6 8
Llaneros
7 17 9 9 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.595%
Under 2.55%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Envigado (home)

For4.3

Llaneros (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Envigado — total shots (home)10.6
Llaneros — total shots (away)8.6

Shots on Target

Envigado — on target (home)3.1
Llaneros — on target (away)2.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Envigado

Inside the box5.23
Outside the box5.13

Llaneros

Inside the box5.25
Outside the box4.38

Player Shots Envigado

D. Pabón
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target50%
D. Arcila
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target19%
E. López
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target8%
B. Garcés
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target8%
W. Hurtado
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Llaneros

Harold Reina
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
C. Sierra
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target7%
J. Mayorga
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Rangel
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target6%
C. Cortés
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Envigado xG (home)1.15
Llaneros xG (away)0.98

Average Possession

43.18% Possession 47.63%

Team Comparison Envigado vs Llaneros

74.7% Pass accuracy 79.2%
285.13 Passes per match 352.3
0 Goals prevented 0
14.18 Fouls committed 9.95
2.9 Goalkeeper saves 2.88
1.74 Offsides 1.37
11.08 Tackles per match 11.05

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Envigado vs Llaneros prediction analysis

Review Envigado vs Llaneros with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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