What markets are included in the Envigado vs Once Caldas prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Envigado vs Once Caldas prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Envigado vs Once Caldas

Envigado vs Once Caldas prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-05-01 19:00

Envigado

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

40%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Once Caldas

Away

Prediction Summary

43%

28%

29%

Under 2.5

60%

BTTS No

54%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Envigado (Home)

Goals scored / match0.75

Goals conceded / match1.4

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate60%

Once Caldas (Away)

Goals scored / match0.64

Goals conceded / match1.23

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

Envigado

WDLLL

Once Caldas

DWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 50%

10% +1.5 14%

5% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

60% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Envigado averages 0.75 goals scored at home, while Once Caldas averages 0.64 goals scored away.

Model Strength

60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

43%

Draw

28%

Away Win

29%

Over 2.5

40%

BTTS Yes

46%

Head-to-Head last 3

Jul 2026 Envigado(A) 0 - 3 Once Caldas Away

Sep 2025 Envigado(A) 0 - 1 Once Caldas Away

May 2025 Envigado 1 - 2 Once Caldas Away

In the last 3 meetings, Envigado won 0, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Envigado — unbeaten run (home)1

Envigado — scoring streak (home)1

Once Caldas — winless run (away)3

Once Caldas — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Envigado Win (1)43%

Draw (X)28%

Once Caldas Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 50%

10% +1.5 14%

5% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 50%

90% -1.5 86%

95% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Envigado vs Once Caldas — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Envigado — scored (home)0.75

Envigado — conceded (home)1.4

Once Caldas — scored (away)0.64

Once Caldas — conceded (away)1.23

Model expected combined goals2.29

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%

No54%

Rate per Team

Envigado — BTTS matches (home)60%

Once Caldas — BTTS matches (away)41%

Combined (simple average)50.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.593%

Under 4.57%

Over 5.589%

Under 5.511%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.567%

Under 7.533%

Over 8.555%

Under 8.545%

Over 9.543%

Under 9.557%

Over 10.536%

Under 10.564%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Envigado (home)

Corners for4.3

Corners against5.2

Once Caldas (away)

Corners for3.2

Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Envigado

3 4 12 6 8

Once Caldas

7 14 14 5 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.595%

Under 2.55%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Envigado (home)

For4.3

Once Caldas (away)

For3.1

Shots per Game

Envigado — total shots (home)10.6

Once Caldas — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Envigado — on target (home)3.1

Once Caldas — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Envigado

Inside the box5.23

Outside the box5.13

Once Caldas

Inside the box6.02

Outside the box6.42

Player Shots Envigado

D. Pabón

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target50%

D. Arcila

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target19%

E. López

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target8%

B. Garcés

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target8%

W. Hurtado

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Once Caldas

H. Dorrego

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

D. Moreno

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target59%

+1.5 On Target23%

J. Zapata

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target11%

M. Barrios

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target11%

M. García

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Envigado xG (home)1.15

Once Caldas xG (away)0.94

Average Possession

43.18% Possession 49.73%

Team Comparison Envigado vs Once Caldas

74.7% Pass accuracy 81.02%

285.13 Passes per match 358.62

0 Goals prevented 0

14.18 Fouls committed 11.36

2.9 Goalkeeper saves 3.64

1.74 Offsides 2.43

11.08 Tackles per match 12.47

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Envigado vs Once Caldas prediction analysis

Review Envigado vs Once Caldas with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights