What markets are included in the Envigado vs Union Magdalena prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Envigado vs Union Magdalena prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Envigado vs Union Magdalena

Envigado vs Union Magdalena prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-04-26 19:00

Envigado

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

41%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Union Magdalena

Away

Prediction Summary

34%

28%

38%

Under 2.5

59%

BTTS No

53%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Envigado (Home)

Goals scored / match0.75

Goals conceded / match1.4

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate60%

Union Magdalena (Away)

Goals scored / match0.7

Goals conceded / match1.65

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Envigado

WDLLL

Union Magdalena

WLLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 60%

10% +1.5 10%

5% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

60% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Envigado averages 0.75 goals scored at home, while Union Magdalena averages 0.7 goals scored away.

Model Strength

59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

34%

Draw

28%

Away Win

38%

Over 2.5

41%

BTTS Yes

47%

Head-to-Head last 2

Oct 2025 Envigado(A) 1 - 3 Union Magdalena Away

Apr 2025 Envigado 2 - 1 Union Magdalena Home

In the last 2 meetings, Envigado won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Envigado — unbeaten run (home)1

Envigado — scoring streak (home)1

Union Magdalena — winless run (away)6

Union Magdalena — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Envigado Win (1)34%

Draw (X)28%

Union Magdalena Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 60%

10% +1.5 10%

5% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 40%

90% -1.5 90%

95% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Envigado vs Union Magdalena — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Envigado — scored (home)0.75

Envigado — conceded (home)1.4

Union Magdalena — scored (away)0.7

Union Magdalena — conceded (away)1.65

Model expected combined goals2.33

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%

No53%

Rate per Team

Envigado — BTTS matches (home)60%

Union Magdalena — BTTS matches (away)50%

Combined (simple average)55%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.593%

Under 4.57%

Over 5.593%

Under 5.57%

Over 6.585%

Under 6.515%

Over 7.570%

Under 7.530%

Over 8.558%

Under 8.542%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.548%

Under 10.552%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Envigado (home)

Corners for4.3

Corners against5.2

Union Magdalena (away)

Corners for2.9

Corners against6.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Envigado

3 4 12 6 8

Union Magdalena

3 14 12 11 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6

Yellow Cards per Team

Envigado (home)

For4.3

Union Magdalena (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Envigado — total shots (home)10.6

Union Magdalena — total shots (away)9.0

Shots on Target

Envigado — on target (home)3.1

Union Magdalena — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Envigado

Inside the box5.23

Outside the box5.13

Union Magdalena

Inside the box5.77

Outside the box5.72

Player Shots Envigado

D. Pabón

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target50%

D. Arcila

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target19%

E. López

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target8%

B. Garcés

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target8%

W. Hurtado

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Union Magdalena

R. Márquez

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target17%

J. Sarmiento

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target8%

R. Blanco

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

C. Iguaran

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target0%

O. Aragon

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Envigado xG (home)1.15

Union Magdalena xG (away)1.16

Average Possession

43.18% Possession 45.9%

Team Comparison Envigado vs Union Magdalena

74.7% Pass accuracy 75.59%

285.13 Passes per match 333

0 Goals prevented 0

14.18 Fouls committed 13.13

2.9 Goalkeeper saves 3.18

1.74 Offsides 1.74

11.08 Tackles per match 13.23

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Envigado vs Union Magdalena prediction analysis

Review Envigado vs Union Magdalena with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights