Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray

Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Süper Lig 2026-08-23 17:00
Erzurumspor FK
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Away Win
Pick
Galatasaray
Probability
55%
Confidence
Low
Score
0-1
Galatasaray
Away

Prediction Summary

1
21%
X
24%
2
55%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Erzurumspor FK (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Galatasaray (Away)

Goals scored / match1.82
Goals conceded / match0.94
Over 2.5 rate35%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Galatasaray
LWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 82%
0% +1.5 53%
0% +2.5 35%
0% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Away Win with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Low.

Erzurumspor FK averages 0 goals scored at home, while Galatasaray averages 1.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
21%
Draw
24%
Away Win
55%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 2

Feb 2021 Erzurumspor FK(A) 0 - 2 Galatasaray Away
Oct 2020 Erzurumspor FK 1 - 2 Galatasaray Away

In the last 2 meetings, Erzurumspor FK won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Galatasaray — winless run (away)2
Galatasaray — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Erzurumspor FK Win (1)21%
Draw (X)24%
Galatasaray Win (2)55%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 82%
0% +1.5 53%
0% +2.5 35%
0% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 18%
100% -1.5 47%
100% -2.5 65%
100% -3.5 88%
100% -4.5 100%

Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Erzurumspor FK — scored (home)0
Erzurumspor FK — conceded (home)0
Galatasaray — scored (away)1.82
Galatasaray — conceded (away)0.94
Model expected combined goals2.58

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Erzurumspor FK — BTTS matches (home)0%
Galatasaray — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)23.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.536%
Under 10.564%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Erzurumspor FK (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Galatasaray (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against3.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Galatasaray
6 10 9 7 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.544%
Under 1.556%
Over 2.538%
Under 2.562%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Erzurumspor FK (home)

For—

Galatasaray (away)

For2.4

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.573%
Under 19.527%
Over 22.560%
Under 22.540%
Over 25.545%
Under 25.555%
Expected total shots25.34

Erzurumspor FK

Shots Over 9.577%
Shots Over 11.562%
Shots Over 13.546%
Expected shots13.53
On Target Over 3.562%
On Target Over 4.546%
On Target Over 5.531%
Expected on target4.53

Galatasaray

Shots Over 9.566%
Shots Over 11.549%
Shots Over 13.533%
Expected shots11.81
On Target Over 3.551%
On Target Over 4.535%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target3.86

Shots per Game

Erzurumspor FK — total shots (home)—
Galatasaray — total shots (away)12.8

Shots on Target

Erzurumspor FK — on target (home)—
Galatasaray — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Erzurumspor FK

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Galatasaray

Inside the box11.5
Outside the box4.88

Player Shots Erzurumspor FK

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Galatasaray

V. Osimhen
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target82%
+1.5 On Target55%
M. Icardi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target16%
B. Yılmaz
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target20%
N. Lang
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target8%
L. Sané
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Erzurumspor FK xG (home)-
Galatasaray xG (away)2.02

Average Possession

-% Possession 62%

Team Comparison Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray

0% Pass accuracy 86.65%
- Passes per match 508.88
- Goals prevented 0.04
- Fouls committed 12.5
- Goalkeeper saves 2.53
- Offsides 1.74
- Tackles per match 14.68

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray prediction analysis

Review Erzurumspor FK vs Galatasaray with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Süper Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Süper Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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